Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pombal vs EC de Patos

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano 2025 Estadio Jose Cavalcanti, Patos
Our Tip

Match Events

39'
Mano Walter
42'
Marinho Moreira N. E.
53' Event
Rodriguinho

AI Match Summary

EC de Patos in this Paraibano 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored EC de Patos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Pombal
15%
Draws
48%
EC de Patos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: EC de Patos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to EC de Patos lately — more wins on the board than Pombal.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Pombal Clean Sheet 20%
EC de Patos Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pombal EC de Patos
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 14
Draws 6 5
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 0.97 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2026 Paraibano
EC de Patos vs Pombal
0:1
Jan 12, 2025 Paraibano
Pombal vs EC de Patos
0:3
Oct 15, 2023 Paraibano 2
EC de Patos vs Pombal
0:2
Oct 12, 2023 Paraibano 2
Pombal vs EC de Patos
2:3
Sep 6, 2023 Paraibano 2
Pombal vs EC de Patos
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pombal Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

EC de Patos Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguinho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pedro Junior
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pombal 32 / 100
EC de Patos 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pombal EC de Patos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EC de Patos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pombal's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: EC de Patos conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Pombal went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pombal VS EC de Patos
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pombal

(Home)
22 Feb
Sousa
2 : 0
Pombal
18 Feb
Confianca PB
3 : 2
Pombal
14 Feb
Pombal
1 : 1
Atletico Cajazeirense
04 Feb
EC de Patos
0 : 1
Pombal
01 Feb
Pombal
3 : 1
Serra Branca
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EC de Patos

(Away)
22 Feb
EC de Patos
1 : 0
Campinense
13 Feb
Treze PB
3 : 1
EC de Patos
08 Feb
Confianca PB
1 : 2
EC de Patos
04 Feb
EC de Patos
0 : 1
Pombal
01 Feb
Sousa
0 : 1
EC de Patos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sousa 9 6 2 1 14:3 20
2 Botafogo PB 9 6 1 2 19:8 19
3 Treze PB 9 5 3 1 18:8 18
4 Serra Branca 9 5 2 2 21:8 17
5 Campinense 9 4 2 3 14:10 14
6 EC de Patos 9 3 1 5 14:16 10
7 Pombal 9 2 3 4 7:11 9
8 Nacional PB 9 2 3 4 15:21 9
9 Auto Esporte 9 1 4 4 9:16 7
10 Picuiense 9 0 1 8 5:35 1
11 CSP 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Paraibano 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraibano 2 (Main)