Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pombal vs Spartax

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano 2 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 5-0, with Pombal advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Pombal
15%
Draws
39%
Spartax
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pombal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Spartax come out ahead of Pombal on wins alone.
  • Pombal are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Spartax arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Pombal, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Pombal Clean Sheet 13%
Spartax Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pombal Spartax
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 8 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.1 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2023 Paraibano 2
Pombal vs Spartax
5:0
Sep 4, 2023 Paraibano 2
Spartax vs Pombal
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pombal 40 / 100
Spartax 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pombal Spartax

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pombal found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Spartax has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Pombal stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pombal VS Spartax
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Pombal

(Home)
22 Feb
Sousa
2 : 0
Pombal
18 Feb
Confianca PB
3 : 2
Pombal
14 Feb
Pombal
1 : 1
Atletico Cajazeirense
04 Feb
EC de Patos
0 : 1
Pombal
01 Feb
Pombal
3 : 1
Serra Branca
Page 1 of 7

Spartax

(Away)
13 Sept
Picuiense
0 : 1
Spartax
21 Sept
Serrano PB
5 : 1
Spartax
17 Sept
Spartax
3 : 1
Sabugy
14 Sept
Spartax
0 : 3
Sao Paulo Crystal
11 Sept
Cruzeiro-PB
2 : 0
Spartax
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
EC de Patos -
TBD -
Pombal 5
Spartax 0
Atletico Cajazeirense -
TBD -
Confianca PB 5
Picuiense 0
Semi-finals
EC de Patos 3
Pombal 4
Atletico Cajazeirense 8
Confianca PB 1
Final
Pombal 0
Atletico Cajazeirense 1