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Pompei vs Afragolese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Ferrara A.
70' Event
Montaperto G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 game between Pompei and Afragolese finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Afragolese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Pompei
30%
Draws
14%
Afragolese
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pompei

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Afragolese carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 56% — that's where the model lands on Pompei taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Pompei Clean Sheet 68%
Afragolese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pompei Afragolese
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 4 9
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 0.87 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Pompei vs Afragolese
0:2
Sep 24, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Afragolese vs Pompei
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pompei Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Afragolese Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferrara A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Montaperto G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pompei 95 / 100
Afragolese 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pompei Afragolese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pompei Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Afragolese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Pompei stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Pompei scored in 40% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pompei VS Afragolese
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pompei

(Home)
10 May
Sarnese
2 : 1
Pompei
03 May
Fidelis Andria
1 : 2
Pompei
26 Apr
Pompei
4 : 1
Virtus Francavilla
19 Apr
Acerrana
1 : 3
Pompei
12 Apr
Pompei
2 : 1
Heraclea
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Afragolese

(Away)
03 May
Francavilla
2 : 0
Afragolese
26 Apr
Afragolese
0 : 6
Gravina
19 Apr
Afragolese
0 : 0
Real Normanna
11 Apr
Paganese
1 : 1
Afragolese
02 Apr
Afragolese
2 : 2
Virtus Francavilla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barletta 34 20 10 4 54:20 70
2 Martina Calcio 34 18 8 8 47:30 62
3 Citta di Fasano 34 18 8 8 51:35 62
4 Paganese 34 17 7 10 36:32 58
5 A.C.D. Nardo 34 14 13 7 40:27 55
6 Gravina 34 16 7 11 50:40 55
7 Afragolese 34 13 10 11 45:46 49
8 Fidelis Andria 34 13 9 12 35:28 48
9 Virtus Francavilla 34 12 12 10 45:40 48
10 Real Normanna 34 10 13 11 27:26 43
11 Francavilla 34 11 10 13 39:38 43
12 Manfredonia 34 11 10 13 34:39 43
13 Sarnese 34 9 14 11 51:49 41
14 SS Nola 1925 34 11 8 15 42:50 41
15 Heraclea 34 10 8 16 31:39 38
16 Pompei 34 9 7 18 26:38 34
17 Ferrandina 34 7 9 18 21:43 30
18 Acerrana 34 3 5 26 20:74 14
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Out)