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Pompei vs Fidelis Andria

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Cipolletta C.

AI Match Summary

Fidelis Andria in this Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fidelis Andria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

78%
Pompei
15%
Draws
7%
Fidelis Andria
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pompei

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Fidelis Andria have won more games recently than Pompei.
  • Pompei are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Pompei Clean Sheet 68%
Fidelis Andria Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pompei Fidelis Andria
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 4 7
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 0.87 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.3 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Fidelis Andria vs Pompei
1:2
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Pompei vs Fidelis Andria
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pompei Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Fidelis Andria Compare

Top Goalscorer Cipolletta C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pompei 95 / 100
Fidelis Andria 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pompei Fidelis Andria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pompei Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Pompei went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Fidelis Andria lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Pompei scored in 40% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Pompei VS Fidelis Andria
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pompei

(Home)
10 May
Sarnese
2 : 1
Pompei
03 May
Fidelis Andria
1 : 2
Pompei
26 Apr
Pompei
4 : 1
Virtus Francavilla
19 Apr
Acerrana
1 : 3
Pompei
12 Apr
Pompei
2 : 1
Heraclea
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Fidelis Andria

(Away)
20 Sept
San Felice Gladiator
3 : 2
Fidelis Andria
16 Sept
Fidelis Andria
1 : 1
Manfredonia
12 Sept
Brindisi
1 : 0
Fidelis Andria
06 Sept
Fidelis Andria
1 : 3
Gravina
03 May
Fidelis Andria
1 : 2
Pompei
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barletta 34 20 10 4 54:20 70
2 Martina Calcio 34 18 8 8 47:30 62
3 Citta di Fasano 34 18 8 8 51:35 62
4 Paganese 34 17 7 10 36:32 58
5 A.C.D. Nardo 34 14 13 7 40:27 55
6 Gravina 34 16 7 11 50:40 55
7 Afragolese 34 13 10 11 45:46 49
8 Fidelis Andria 34 13 9 12 35:28 48
9 Virtus Francavilla 34 12 12 10 45:40 48
10 Real Normanna 34 10 13 11 27:26 43
11 Francavilla 34 11 10 13 39:38 43
12 Manfredonia 34 11 10 13 34:39 43
13 Sarnese 34 9 14 11 51:49 41
14 SS Nola 1925 34 11 8 15 42:50 41
15 Heraclea 34 10 8 16 31:39 38
16 Pompei 34 9 7 18 26:38 34
17 Ferrandina 34 7 9 18 21:43 30
18 Acerrana 34 3 5 26 20:74 14
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Out)