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Stadium Background

Pompei vs Heraclea

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Tompte E.
30'
Montuori M.
42' Event
Tompte E.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H game between Pompei and Heraclea finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pompei.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Pompei
6%
Draws
4%
Heraclea
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pompei

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Heraclea have managed 0.88 goals a game lately — Pompei are scoring more at 1.5.
  • Pompei are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group H form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Pompei Clean Sheet 68%
Heraclea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pompei Heraclea
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 4 8
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 1.5 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Pompei vs Heraclea
2:1
Nov 29, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Heraclea vs Pompei
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pompei Compare

Top Goalscorer Tompte E.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Heraclea Compare

Top Goalscorer Pirioua B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pompei 95 / 100
Heraclea 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pompei Heraclea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Heraclea conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Pompei has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Heraclea's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Pompei VS Heraclea
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pompei

(Home)
10 May
Sarnese
2 : 1
Pompei
03 May
Fidelis Andria
1 : 2
Pompei
26 Apr
Pompei
4 : 1
Virtus Francavilla
19 Apr
Acerrana
1 : 3
Pompei
12 Apr
Pompei
2 : 1
Heraclea
Page 1 of 6

Heraclea

(Away)
10 May
SS Nola 1925
1 : 1
Heraclea
03 May
Heraclea
2 : 1
Ferrandina
26 Apr
Martina Calcio
2 : 1
Heraclea
19 Apr
Heraclea
1 : 3
Barletta
12 Apr
Pompei
2 : 1
Heraclea
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barletta342010454:2070
2Martina Calcio34188847:3062
3Citta di Fasano34188851:3562
4Paganese341771036:3258
5A.C.D. Nardo341413740:2755
6Gravina341671150:4055
7Afragolese3413101145:4649
8Fidelis Andria341391235:2848
9Virtus Francavilla3412121045:4048
10Real Normanna3410131127:2643
11Francavilla3411101339:3843
12Manfredonia3411101334:3943
13Sarnese349141151:4941
14SS Nola 1925341181542:5041
15Heraclea341081631:3938
16Pompei34971826:3834
17Ferrandina34791821:4330
18Acerrana34352620:7414
Promotion - Serie D - Group H (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H (Play Out)