Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pompei vs Heraclea

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Tompte E.
30'
Montuori M.
42' Event
Tompte E.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 game between Pompei and Heraclea finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pompei.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Pompei
15%
Draws
21%
Heraclea
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pompei

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Pompei have managed 0.87 goals a game lately — Heraclea are scoring more at 0.93.
  • Pompei are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Pompei Clean Sheet 68%
Heraclea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pompei Heraclea
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 4 8
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 0.87 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Pompei vs Heraclea
2:1
Nov 29, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Heraclea vs Pompei
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pompei Compare

Top Goalscorer Tompte E.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Heraclea Compare

Top Goalscorer Pirioua B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pompei 95 / 100
Heraclea 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pompei Heraclea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pompei Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Heraclea conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Pompei has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Heraclea's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Pompei VS Heraclea
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pompei

(Home)
10 May
Sarnese
2 : 1
Pompei
03 May
Fidelis Andria
1 : 2
Pompei
26 Apr
Pompei
4 : 1
Virtus Francavilla
19 Apr
Acerrana
1 : 3
Pompei
12 Apr
Pompei
2 : 1
Heraclea
Page 1 of 6

Heraclea

(Away)
10 May
SS Nola 1925
1 : 1
Heraclea
03 May
Heraclea
2 : 1
Ferrandina
26 Apr
Martina Calcio
2 : 1
Heraclea
19 Apr
Heraclea
1 : 3
Barletta
12 Apr
Pompei
2 : 1
Heraclea
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barletta 34 20 10 4 54:20 70
2 Martina Calcio 34 18 8 8 47:30 62
3 Citta di Fasano 34 18 8 8 51:35 62
4 Paganese 34 17 7 10 36:32 58
5 A.C.D. Nardo 34 14 13 7 40:27 55
6 Gravina 34 16 7 11 50:40 55
7 Afragolese 34 13 10 11 45:46 49
8 Fidelis Andria 34 13 9 12 35:28 48
9 Virtus Francavilla 34 12 12 10 45:40 48
10 Real Normanna 34 10 13 11 27:26 43
11 Francavilla 34 11 10 13 39:38 43
12 Manfredonia 34 11 10 13 34:39 43
13 Sarnese 34 9 14 11 51:49 41
14 SS Nola 1925 34 11 8 15 42:50 41
15 Heraclea 34 10 8 16 31:39 38
16 Pompei 34 9 7 18 26:38 34
17 Ferrandina 34 7 9 18 21:43 30
18 Acerrana 34 3 5 26 20:74 14
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Out)