Sport Picks
Ponferradina vs Barakaldo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Primera RFEF - Group 1 Estadio El Toralín, Ponferrada 
AI Match Summary
Ponferradina host Barakaldo in the Primera RFEF - Group 1. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Ponferradina at 1.09 goals for, 0.94 against; Barakaldo at 1.24 for, 1 against. Head-to-head, Ponferradina have won 2 to Barakaldo's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 19, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 0.81) point toward Ponferradina. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Ponferradina come out ahead of Barakaldo on wins alone.
- Ponferradina are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- Regular Primera RFEF - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ponferradina | Barakaldo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 12 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.09 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.94 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ponferradina's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
Barakaldo has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.
Ponferradina has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Historical meetings average 0.60 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Ponferradina
(Home)Barakaldo
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lugo | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 15:4 | 22 |
| 2 | UD Logrones | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:11 | 17 |
| 3 | Racing Club Ferrol | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 16 |
| 4 | AD Merida | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 15:12 | 12 |
| 5 | Ath Bilbao B | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:10 | 12 |
| 6 | Zamora | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:8 | 12 |
| 7 | Leonesa | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:7 | 12 |
| 8 | Cacereno | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:5 | 12 |
| 9 | Ponferradina | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6:6 | 12 |
| 10 | Real Aviles | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14:10 | 11 |
| 11 | Pontevedra | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:10 | 11 |
| 12 | Mirandes | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:10 | 11 |
| 13 | Real Union | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 15:13 | 10 |
| 14 | CD Extremadura | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:10 | 10 |
| 15 | Barakaldo | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 16 | Deportivo Fabril | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:11 | 8 |
| 17 | CD Coria | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:16 | 8 |
| 18 | Unionistas de Salamanca | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:14 | 7 |
| 19 | UD Ourense | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3:13 | 5 |
| 20 | Arenas Getxo | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:22 | 2 |
