Sport Picks
Ponferradina vs Barakaldo
Spain
Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 Estadio El Toralín, Ponferrada 
Match Events
16'
16'
Esquerdo V.
31'
31'
Lopez O.
43'
43'
Frimpong E.
AI Match Summary
Ponferradina in this Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ponferradina.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ponferradina
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Barakaldo have won more games recently than Ponferradina.
- Model gives Ponferradina a 47% chance of winning this.
- Regular Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Ponferradina Clean Sheet 68%
Barakaldo Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ponferradina | Barakaldo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 14 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 19, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Ponferradina vs Barakaldo
1:0
Nov 9, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Barakaldo vs Ponferradina
0:0
Feb 7, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Ponferradina vs Barakaldo
0:1
Nov 17, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Barakaldo vs Ponferradina
0:1
Feb 7, 2010 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Ponferradina vs Barakaldo
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ponferradina Compare
Top Goalscorer Esquerdo V.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Barakaldo Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ponferradina 86 / 100
Barakaldo 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ponferradina Barakaldo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ponferradina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ponferradina found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).
Barakaldo let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.
Recent resilience: Ponferradina stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Difficult form: Barakaldo registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ponferradina VS Barakaldo
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Ponferradina
(Home) 19 Sept
Ponferradina
1 : 0 AD Merida
13 Sept
Deportivo Fabril
2 : 1 Ponferradina
04 Sept
Ponferradina
0 : 0 Lugo
29 Aug
UD Ourense
0 : 1 Ponferradina
19 Aug
Ponferradina
2 : 2 Real Madrid B
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Ponferradina
1 : 0 AD Merida
04 Sept
Ponferradina
0 : 0 Lugo
19 Aug
Ponferradina
2 : 2 Real Madrid B
05 Aug
Ponferradina
1 : 2 Unionistas de Salamanca
01 Aug
Ponferradina
1 : 1 Real Aviles
Page 1 of 4
Barakaldo
(Away) 19 Sept
Racing Club Ferrol
1 : 0 Barakaldo
11 Sept
Barakaldo
1 : 0 CD Extremadura
05 Sept
CD Coria
4 : 1 Barakaldo
30 Aug
Barakaldo
0 : 0 Leonesa
14 Aug
Portugalete
2 : 0 Barakaldo
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Racing Club Ferrol
1 : 0 Barakaldo
05 Sept
CD Coria
4 : 1 Barakaldo
14 Aug
Portugalete
2 : 0 Barakaldo
17 May
Real Aviles
1 : 4 Barakaldo
01 May
Tenerife
2 : 0 Barakaldo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tenerife | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 62:24 | 76 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 61:48 | 65 |
| 3 | Zamora | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 53:42 | 61 |
| 4 | Ponferradina | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 43:33 | 60 |
| 5 | Real Madrid B | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 61:52 | 58 |
| 6 | Pontevedra | 38 | 14 | 16 | 8 | 49:31 | 58 |
| 7 | Barakaldo | 38 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 51:38 | 58 |
| 8 | Unionistas de Salamanca | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 53:49 | 56 |
| 9 | Lugo | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36:40 | 53 |
| 10 | AD Merida | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 47:53 | 52 |
| 11 | Arenas Getxo | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 46:55 | 52 |
| 12 | Racing Club Ferrol | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 41:47 | 49 |
| 13 | Ath Bilbao B | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 38:46 | 49 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 55:67 | 44 |
| 15 | Cacereno | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 42:49 | 44 |
| 16 | CF Talavera | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 38:47 | 43 |
| 17 | Ourense CF | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 44:47 | 43 |
| 18 | Guadalajara | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 44:58 | 41 |
| 19 | Osasuna B | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 28:42 | 40 |
| 20 | Arenteiro | 38 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 29:53 | 28 |
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
