Sport Picks
Ponferradina vs Lugo Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Primera RFEF - Group 1 Estadio El Toralín, Ponferrada 
Match Events
48'
48'
Faye S.
58'
58'
Sub
Berzal G. In: Dauda M.
Out: Berzal G.
64'
64'
Sub
Sabroso U. In: Bari Q.
Out: Sabroso U.
AI Match Summary
The Primera RFEF - Group 1 game between Ponferradina and Lugo finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
30%
43%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lugo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Lugo's 1.14 goals per match outpaces what Ponferradina have produced (1.1).
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Primera RFEF - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Ponferradina Clean Sheet 15%
Lugo Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ponferradina | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 14 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 7 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 4, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Ponferradina vs Lugo
0:0
Feb 1, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Lugo vs Ponferradina
0:2
Nov 15, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Ponferradina vs Lugo
1:1
Aug 13, 2025 Club Friendly
Ponferradina vs Lugo
3:2
Mar 23, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Ponferradina vs Lugo
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ponferradina 31 / 100
Lugo 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ponferradina Lugo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lugo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Ponferradina scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Ponferradina went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Lugo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Ponferradina VS Lugo
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Ponferradina
(Home) 27 Sept
Pontevedra
1 : 1 Ponferradina
19 Sept
Ponferradina
1 : 0 AD Merida
13 Sept
Deportivo Fabril
2 : 1 Ponferradina
04 Sept
Ponferradina
0 : 0 Lugo
29 Aug
UD Ourense
0 : 1 Ponferradina
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Ponferradina
1 : 0 AD Merida
04 Sept
Ponferradina
0 : 0 Lugo
19 Aug
Ponferradina
2 : 2 Real Madrid B
05 Aug
Ponferradina
1 : 2 Unionistas de Salamanca
01 Aug
Ponferradina
1 : 1 Real Aviles
Page 1 of 3
Lugo
(Away) 26 Sept
Lugo
1 : 0 Racing Club Ferrol
20 Sept
Zamora
1 : 2 Lugo
13 Sept
Lugo
1 : 0 CD Coria
04 Sept
Ponferradina
0 : 0 Lugo
30 Aug
Unionistas de Salamanca
1 : 3 Lugo
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Zamora
1 : 2 Lugo
04 Sept
Ponferradina
0 : 0 Lugo
30 Aug
Unionistas de Salamanca
1 : 3 Lugo
12 Aug
Bergantinos
0 : 3 Lugo
29 Jul
Dep. A Coruna
1 : 0 Lugo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UD Logrones | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13:6 | 13 |
| 2 | Lugo | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 13 |
| 3 | Ath Bilbao B | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11:5 | 11 |
| 4 | Cacereno | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6:1 | 11 |
| 5 | Mirandes | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:6 | 10 |
| 6 | Pontevedra | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:6 | 8 |
| 7 | Deportivo Fabril | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 8 |
| 8 | Ponferradina | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 8 |
| 9 | Leonesa | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 8 |
| 10 | Real Union | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12:10 | 7 |
| 11 | Zamora | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 7 |
| 12 | Racing Club Ferrol | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 7 |
| 13 | Real Aviles | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 5 |
| 14 | CD Coria | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | 5 |
| 15 | Barakaldo | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:8 | 5 |
| 16 | CD Extremadura | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2:5 | 3 |
| 17 | AD Merida | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7:11 | 3 |
| 18 | Unionistas de Salamanca | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7:12 | 3 |
| 19 | UD Ourense | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1:9 | 1 |
| 20 | Arenas Getxo | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3:13 | 1 |
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
