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Ponikve vs Trnje

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL Center
Ponikve Logo

Ponikve

1 - 2
FT
Trnje Logo

Trnje

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Trnje in this 3. HNL Center matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Trnje.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ponikve
15%
Draws
45%
Trnje
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Trnje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Trnje have won more games recently than Ponikve.
  • Model gives Trnje a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 3. HNL Center form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Trnje have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Ponikve Clean Sheet 20%
Trnje Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ponikve Trnje
Matches Played 31 47
Wins 8 20
Draws 6 14
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 1.03 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2022 3. HNL Center
Ponikve vs Trnje
1:2
Sep 8, 2021 3. HNL Center
Trnje vs Ponikve
2:0
Mar 28, 2021 3. HNL Center
Trnje vs Ponikve
3:1
Aug 29, 2020 3. HNL Center
Ponikve vs Trnje
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ponikve 24 / 100
Trnje 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ponikve Trnje

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trnje Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Ponikve scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Trnje's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 47 matches.

Recent resilience: Ponikve stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Trnje
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ponikve

(Home)
27 Sept
Ponikve
1 : 4
Din. Zagreb
30 Aug
Bilogora
0 : 2
Ponikve
22 Mar
Ponikve
0 : 1
Rudes
28 May
Ravnice
1 : 2
Ponikve
21 May
Ponikve
2 : 0
Segesta
Page 1 of 7

Trnje

(Away)
19 Sept
Trnje
0 : 1
Dragovoljac
12 Sept
Jarun
3 : 3
Trnje
05 Sept
Trnje
1 : 0
NK Koprivnica
28 Aug
Bjelovar
0 : 2
Trnje
22 Aug
Trnje
3 : 0
NK Inker Zapresic
Page 1 of 10

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zagorec Krapina 34 24 6 4 82:38 78
2 Dugo Selo 34 20 8 6 61:31 68
3 Trnje 34 18 9 7 64:43 63
4 Karlovac 34 17 11 6 68:24 62
5 Lucko 34 18 7 9 65:36 61
6 Maksimir 34 17 6 11 55:40 57
7 Vrbovec 34 14 7 13 56:59 49
8 Ravnice 34 11 14 9 37:42 47
9 Gaj Mace 34 13 7 14 53:51 46
10 HASK 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
11 Vrapce 34 11 10 13 56:48 43
12 Bistra 34 10 11 13 53:56 41
13 Kurilovec 34 8 12 14 39:44 36
14 Lukavec 34 8 9 17 37:69 33
15 Tresnjevka 34 7 8 19 53:78 29
16 Ponikve 34 7 7 20 32:53 28
17 Segesta 34 6 8 20 33:76 26
18 Mladost Petrinja 34 5 10 19 32:89 25
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)