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Ponta Pora vs Chapadao Prediction & H2H Stats

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Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2020
Ponta Pora Logo

Ponta Pora

0 - 2
FT
Chapadao Logo

Chapadao

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Chapadao in this Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2020 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chapadao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Ponta Pora
15%
Draws
59%
Chapadao
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chapadao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Chapadao have won more games recently than Ponta Pora.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Ponta Pora Clean Sheet 20%
Chapadao Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ponta Pora Chapadao
Matches Played 9 31
Wins 1 14
Draws 1 5
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 0.67 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2020 Sul-Matogrossense
Ponta Pora vs Chapadao
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ponta Pora 32 / 100
Chapadao 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ponta Pora Chapadao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Chapadao conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Ponta Pora scored in 56% of their last 9 outings.

Solid form: Ponta Pora remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Chapadao
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ponta Pora

(Home)
14 Mar
Corumbaense
2 : 1
Ponta Pora
08 Mar
Ponta Pora
1 : 3
Comercial MS
04 Mar
Aquidauanense
2 : 1
Ponta Pora
01 Mar
Ponta Pora
0 : 2
Chapadao
16 Feb
Ponta Pora
2 : 0
Maracaju
Page 1 of 2

Chapadao

(Away)
02 Apr
Ivinhema
2 : 4
Chapadao
26 Mar
Chapadao
0 : 3
Ivinhema
12 Mar
Operario MS
2 : 1
Chapadao
05 Mar
Chapadao
1 : 1
Coxim
03 Mar
Comercial MS
0 : 1
Chapadao
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aguia Negra 9 5 3 1 14:8 18
2 Aquidauanense 9 5 3 1 18:9 18
3 Chapadao 9 5 2 2 16:10 17
4 Operario MS 9 5 2 2 14:9 17
5 Comercial MS 9 5 1 3 14:8 16
6 Costa Rica 9 3 2 4 13:14 11
7 Corumbaense 9 3 2 4 7:8 11
8 Maracaju 9 2 4 3 12:14 10
9 Ponta Pora 9 1 1 7 6:17 4
10 Nova Andradina 9 0 2 7 5:22 2
Promotion - Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2020 (Play Offs)