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Pontardawe vs Trefelin

Wales Wales

Cymru South 2023/2024
Pontardawe Logo

Pontardawe

0 - 1
FT
Trefelin Logo

Trefelin

Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Piper R.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Trefelin in this Cymru South 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Trefelin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Pontardawe
15%
Draws
21%
Trefelin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pontardawe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Pontardawe haven't matched Trefelin's recent run of results.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Pontardawe taking it.
  • Regular Cymru South 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Pontardawe Clean Sheet 10%
Trefelin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pontardawe Trefelin
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 7 24
Draws 6 3
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 1.43 2.42
Goals Conceded 2.37 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2024 Cymru South
Pontardawe vs Trefelin
0:1
Aug 19, 2023 Cymru South
Trefelin vs Pontardawe
1:5
Apr 10, 2023 Cymru South
Pontardawe vs Trefelin
2:1
Sep 24, 2022 Cymru South
Trefelin vs Pontardawe
5:0
Feb 22, 2020 Division 1
Trefelin vs Pontardawe
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pontardawe 74 / 100
Trefelin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pontardawe Trefelin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pontardawe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Pontardawe found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Away concern: Trefelin has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Trefelin conceded in 53% of 36 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Pontardawe VS Trefelin
0.63 Goals Scored 2.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 3.13
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Pontardawe

(Home)
28 Aug
Aberystwyth
1 : 0
Pontardawe
21 Aug
Afan Lido
1 : 0
Pontardawe
15 Aug
Pontardawe
0 : 4
Newport City
07 Aug
Pontypridd United
3 : 2
Pontardawe
01 Aug
Pontardawe
3 : 0
Caerphilly
Page 1 of 6

Trefelin

(Away)
31 Aug
Haverfordwest
2 : 1
Trefelin
28 Aug
Trefelin
1 : 1
Ammanford Town
21 Aug
Trefelin
0 : 2
Caernarfon
14 Aug
Connahs Q.
6 : 0
Trefelin
07 Aug
Trefelin
0 : 4
Llandudno FC
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Briton Ferry 30 23 2 5 87:39 71
2 Llanelli 30 20 4 6 80:40 64
3 Ammanford Town 30 17 6 7 60:42 57
4 Cambrian United 30 14 8 8 60:37 50
5 Caerau Ely 30 15 4 11 72:60 49
6 Carmarthen Town 30 12 11 7 50:39 47
7 Afan Lido 30 14 4 12 68:56 46
8 Goytre Utd 30 12 7 11 58:59 43
9 Cwmbran Celtic 30 12 6 12 69:64 42
10 Baglan Dragons 30 11 8 11 46:41 41
11 Trefelin 30 10 8 12 47:63 38
12 Llantwit Major 30 9 8 13 44:54 35
13 Taffs Well 30 8 8 14 44:49 32
14 Pontardawe 30 8 8 14 52:70 32
15 Abertillery Bluebirds 30 3 6 21 34:94 15
16 Abergavenny Town 30 2 2 26 20:84 8
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2024/2025 (Main)