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Pontardawe vs Ynyshir Albions - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru South
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pontardawe host Ynyshir Albions in the Cymru South. Little to choose between these two on current form. Ynyshir Albions have shipped 1.53 goals a game lately, while Pontardawe have conceded 2.24 and scored 1.55. Head-to-head, Pontardawe have won 2 to Ynyshir Albions's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 11, 2023, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 1.63) point toward Pontardawe. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Pontardawe
30%
Draws
37%
Ynyshir Albions
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ynyshir Albions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Pontardawe haven't matched Ynyshir Albions's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Cymru South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Pontardawe Clean Sheet 14%
Ynyshir Albions Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pontardawe Ynyshir Albions
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 7 9
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.55 1.2
Goals Conceded 2.24 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2023 Cymru South
Pontardawe vs Ynyshir Albions
3:0
Aug 13, 2022 Cymru South
Ynyshir Albions vs Pontardawe
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pontardawe 30 / 100
Ynyshir Albions 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pontardawe Ynyshir Albions

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pontardawe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pontardawe's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Ynyshir Albions has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Pontardawe went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pontardawe VS Ynyshir Albions
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pontardawe

(Home)
10 Oct
Llantwit Major
1 : 1
Pontardawe
03 Oct
Trethomas Bluebirds
2 : 3
Pontardawe
26 Sept
Pontardawe
6 : 1
Treowen
11 Sept
Pure Swansea
4 : 0
Pontardawe
28 Aug
Aberystwyth
1 : 0
Pontardawe
Page 1 of 6

Ynyshir Albions

(Away)
16 Oct
Cardiff Metropolitan University
4 : 0
Ynyshir Albions
10 Oct
Ynyshir Albions
6 : 2
Llanelli
03 Oct
Treowen
1 : 2
Ynyshir Albions
26 Sept
Ynyshir Albions
1 : 1
Trethomas Bluebirds
12 Sept
Carmarthen Town
2 : 2
Ynyshir Albions
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pure Swansea 9 6 3 0 30:11 21
2 Pontypridd United 10 6 2 2 24:17 20
3 Aberystwyth 9 6 1 2 22:9 19
4 Caerau Ely 10 6 1 3 22:18 19
5 Baglan Dragons 11 5 2 4 12:12 17
6 Ynyshir Albions 9 4 4 1 15:9 16
7 Carmarthen Town 10 4 3 3 22:21 15
8 Trethomas Bluebirds 10 3 4 3 20:18 13
9 Treowen 10 4 1 5 19:21 13
10 Afan Lido 11 3 3 5 18:22 12
11 Caerphilly 10 3 2 5 12:19 11
12 Pontardawe 9 3 1 5 15:17 10
13 Cardiff Draconians 8 2 3 3 11:14 9
14 Newport City 8 2 2 4 12:9 8
15 Llantwit Major 9 2 2 5 8:21 8
16 Llanelli 11 0 2 9 9:33 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)