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Pontarddulais vs Goytre Utd - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

FAW Welsh Cup
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the FAW Welsh Cup. Pontarddulais are expected to control this from the start. Goytre Utd have shipped 2.45 goals a game lately, while Pontarddulais have conceded 1.1 and scored 1.8. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back Pontarddulais to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Pontarddulais
25%
Draws
35%
Goytre Utd
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Pontarddulais

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Goytre Utd carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Pontarddulais's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Goytre Utd arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Pontarddulais Clean Sheet 20%
Goytre Utd Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pontarddulais Goytre Utd
Matches Played 10 33
Wins 5 9
Draws 3 4
Losses 2 20
Goals Scored 1.8 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.1 2.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pontarddulais 67 / 100
Goytre Utd 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pontarddulais Goytre Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pontarddulais Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Goytre Utd's defensive record shows goals conceded in 94% of 33 matches.

Away concern: Goytre Utd has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pontarddulais VS Goytre Utd
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 2.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Pontarddulais

(Home)

Goytre Utd

(Away)
04 Jul
Goytre Utd
1 : 2
Barry Town
17 Oct
Goytre Utd
0 : 6
Cambrian United
20 Sept
Goytre Utd
2 : 1
Ammanford Town
15 Jul
Ton Pentre
1 : 2
Goytre Utd
28 Jun
Goytre Utd
2 : 3
Cambrian United
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
TNS -
Coedpoeth -
Guilsfield -
Llannefydd -
Llandudno FC -
Newtown -
Llanuwchllyn -
Bala -
Holyhead -
Connahs Q. -
Porthmadog -
Penycae FC -
Dolgellau Athletic -
Aberystwyth -
Prestatyn -
Flint Town -
Caernarfon -
Llay Welfare -
Holywell Town FC -
Buckley -
Colwyn Bay -
Brickfield Rangers -
Llangefni -
Denbigh -
Bangor 1876 -
Cefn Albion -
Felinheli -
Llysfaen -
Mochdre Sports -
Pontarddulais -
Goytre Utd -
Trefelin -
Llantwit Major -
Afan Lido -
Penybont -
Caerau Ely -
Llanelli -
Blaen-y-Maes -
Ely Rangers -
Radnor Valley -
Cardiff Draconians -
Barry Town -
Tredegar Town -
Cwmaman Institute -
Ammanford Town -
Llangennech -
Pontardawe -
Caerphilly -
Chepstow Town -
Evans Williams -
Rockspur -
Briton Ferry -
Afan United -
Llantwit Fardre -
Baglan Dragons -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
Ynyshir Albions -
Cambrian United -
Trethomas Bluebirds -
Carmarthen Town -
Newport City -
Haverfordwest -
Cardiff Corries -
1/16-finals
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1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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