Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ponte da Barca vs AD Limianos

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Teixeira B. M.
22' Event
Pimenta L.
31' Event
Barbosa T.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A game between Ponte da Barca and AD Limianos finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AD Limianos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Ponte da Barca
15%
Draws
58%
AD Limianos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AD Limianos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AD Limianos come out ahead of Ponte da Barca on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Ponte da Barca Clean Sheet 13%
AD Limianos Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ponte da Barca AD Limianos
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 5 17
Draws 3 9
Losses 22 9
Goals Scored 0.7 1.49
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.65
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Ponte da Barca vs AD Limianos
2:3
May 7, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
AD Limianos vs Ponte da Barca
2:0
Mar 19, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Ponte da Barca vs AD Limianos
1:2
Jan 8, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
AD Limianos vs Ponte da Barca
0:1
Oct 9, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Ponte da Barca vs AD Limianos
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ponte da Barca Compare

Top Goalscorer Teixeira B. M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guerra L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

AD Limianos Compare

Top Goalscorer Barbosa T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pimenta L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.5
Avg xA / game 0.92

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ponte da Barca 31 / 100
AD Limianos 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ponte da Barca AD Limianos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Limianos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Defensive concern: AD Limianos conceded in 66% of 35 recent games.

Ponte da Barca found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Ponte da Barca remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ponte da Barca VS AD Limianos
0.83 Goals Scored 1.63
1.67 Goals Conceded 1.25
67% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
17% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ponte da Barca

(Home)
20 Sept
Ponte da Barca
0 : 2
Amarante FC
13 Sept
GD Braganca
3 : 0
Ponte da Barca
06 Sept
Ponte da Barca
2 : 3
AD Limianos
30 Aug
CDC Montalegre
0 : 1
Ponte da Barca
23 Aug
Maia Lidador
0 : 1
Ponte da Barca
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AD Limianos

(Away)
20 Sept
AD Limianos
3 : 0
Aljustrelense
06 Sept
Ponte da Barca
2 : 3
AD Limianos
30 Aug
Correlha
1 : 4
AD Limianos
23 Aug
Vila Mea
1 : 1
AD Limianos
16 Aug
AD Limianos
3 : 1
Chaves B
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 GD Braganca 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
2 Tirsense 4 3 0 1 7:2 9
3 Chaves B 4 3 0 1 5:4 9
4 Braga B 4 2 2 0 8:3 8
5 Vila Mea 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
6 AD Limianos 3 2 1 0 7:4 7
7 Celoricense 4 2 1 1 3:2 7
8 CDC Montalegre 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
9 Rebordosa 3 1 0 2 1:2 3
10 Brito 4 1 0 3 4:8 3
11 Ponte da Barca 4 1 0 3 4:8 3
12 Maria de Fonte 4 1 0 3 2:7 3
13 Maia Lidador 4 0 1 3 2:5 1
14 Vinhais 4 0 0 4 1:10 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)