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Ponte Nova PA W vs Atletico Boca Junior W

Brazil Brazil

Paraense Women 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ponte Nova PA W play Atletico Boca Junior W in the Paraense Women 2024. Atletico Boca Junior W are favorites here. Recently, Ponte Nova PA W averaged 0.5 goals scored and 4.5 conceded. Atletico Boca Junior W averaged 0.83 goals scored and 8.33 conceded. In past meetings, Ponte Nova PA W won 0, Atletico Boca Junior W won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 25, 2024 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.56 for Ponte Nova PA W and 2.81 for Atletico Boca Junior W. This points to a Atletico Boca Junior W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Ponte Nova PA W
15%
Draws
58%
Atletico Boca Junior W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atletico Boca Junior W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence
  • Ponte Nova PA W picked up more points recently compared to Atletico Boca Junior W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.56 vs 2.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 95%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 95%
Over 3.5 Goals 57%
Over 4.5 Goals 29%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Ponte Nova PA W Clean Sheet 10%
Atletico Boca Junior W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 90%
Second Half Goal 95%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ponte Nova PA W Atletico Boca Junior W
Matches Played 8 12
Wins 0 2
Draws 0 0
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 0.5 0.83
Goals Conceded 4.5 8.33
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.50 6.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 25, 2024 Paraense Women
Ponte Nova PA W vs Atletico Boca Junior W
1:2
Nov 8, 2024 Paraense Women
Atletico Boca Junior W vs Ponte Nova PA W
4:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ponte Nova PA W 26 / 100
Atletico Boca Junior W 54 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ponte Nova PA W Atletico Boca Junior W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico Boca Junior W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Atletico Boca Junior W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +42%
5.26
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +6.4%
1.12
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ponte Nova PA W attacking → ← attacking Atletico Boca Junior W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ponte Nova PA W scored in 50% of their last 8 games.

Atletico Boca Junior W let in goals in 100% of their last 12 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Ponte Nova PA W went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Atletico Boca Junior W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

0 Points in last 5 6
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
4.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 6.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Tuna Luso W871065:322
2Remo W861131:319
3Castelo dos Sonhos W840431:1112
4Cruzeirao W820613:476
5Atletico JM9 W80081:770
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Tiradentes PA W871041:422
2Paysandu PA W861141:219
3Cabanos W840419:1912
4Atletico Boca Junior W82069:536
5Ponte Nova PA W80084:360