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Ponte Preta U20 vs Ferroviaria U20

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Lima J.
84' Event
Furlan V.

AI Match Summary

The Paulista U20 game between Ponte Preta U20 and Ferroviaria U20 finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ferroviaria U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Ponte Preta U20
22%
Draws
60%
Ferroviaria U20
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Ferroviaria U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Ferroviaria U20 haven't matched Ponte Preta U20's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Ferroviaria U20's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Ferroviaria U20 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Ponte Preta U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Ferroviaria U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ponte Preta U20 Ferroviaria U20
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 15
Draws 3 8
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.13 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 Paulista U20
Ponte Preta U20 vs Ferroviaria U20
0:2
May 24, 2025 Paulista U20
Ferroviaria U20 vs Ponte Preta U20
2:1
Aug 10, 2024 Paulista U20
Ponte Preta U20 vs Ferroviaria U20
0:3
Jun 21, 2024 Paulista U20
Ferroviaria U20 vs Ponte Preta U20
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ponte Preta U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Ferroviaria U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lima J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Furlan V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ponte Preta U20 18 / 100
Ferroviaria U20 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ponte Preta U20 Ferroviaria U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ponte Preta U20 scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Ponte Preta U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Ferroviaria U20 has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ponte Preta U20 VS Ferroviaria U20
1 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ponte Preta U20

(Home)
24 Jul
Ponte Preta U20
2 : 0
Uniao Suzano U20
19 Jul
Corinthians U20
7 : 1
Ponte Preta U20
10 Jul
Ponte Preta U20
0 : 2
Ferroviaria U20
04 Jul
Ponte Preta U20
0 : 0
Santos U20
25 Jun
America SP U20
0 : 1
Ponte Preta U20
Page 1 of 6

Ferroviaria U20

(Away)
26 Jul
Mirassol U20
1 : 1
Ferroviaria U20
18 Jul
Ferroviaria U20
1 : 2
Santos U20
10 Jul
Ponte Preta U20
0 : 2
Ferroviaria U20
03 Jul
Ferroviaria U20
2 : 1
CA Juventus U20
28 Jun
Portuguesa U20
0 : 0
Ferroviaria U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Corinthians U20761017:119
2CA Juventus U20751119:816
3Santos U20742113:314
4Ferroviaria U20742112:414
5Portuguesa U20741211:713
6Sertaozinho U2073226:611
7Ponte Preta U2073138:1310
8Sao Bento U20722310:98
9Portuguesa Santista U20722311:148
10Jabaquara U2072143:77
11Itapirense U2072059:176
12Uniao Suzano U2071154:174
13Mirassol U2070437:124
14America SP U2071063:153
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ibrachina U20770024:421
2Desportivo U2085129:516
3Sao Paulo U20743011:215
4Osasco Sporting U20741210:813
5Paulinense U2083329:812
6Piracicaba U2072418:610
7Santo Andre U20722310:108
8Bandeirante U2082247:128
9Aguai U2082249:178
10Sao Caetano U2082159:147
11Novorizontino U2071429:87
12Uniao Sao Joao U2081436:87
13EC Sao Bernardo U2071336:126
14Botafogo SP U2070528:115
15Velo Clube U2080534:145
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bragantino U20770025:621
2Guarani U20760114:618
3Agua Santa U20843114:715
4Palmeiras U20742112:614
5Sfera U20840417:712
6Gremio Prudente U20732210:911
7Osasco Audax U2083238:911
8Flamengo SP U2083148:1410
9Capivariano U2072419:810
10XV de Jau U2072236:148
11Ituano U2071517:98
12Maua FC U2081346:146
13Tanabi U2081257:155
14Referencia U2071155:134
15Porto Football U2080171:121
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)