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Ponte Preta U20 vs Itapirense U20

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Penalty Missed
51' Event
57' Event

AI Match Summary

The Paulista U20 game between Ponte Preta U20 and Itapirense U20 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Ponte Preta U20
20%
Draws
16%
Itapirense U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ponte Preta U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ponte Preta U20 come out ahead of Itapirense U20 on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Ponte Preta U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Itapirense U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ponte Preta U20 Itapirense U20
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 16 8
Draws 5 4
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.59 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.56 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Paulista U20
Ponte Preta U20 vs Itapirense U20
1:1
Aug 6, 2025 Paulista U20
Itapirense U20 vs Ponte Preta U20
1:0
May 31, 2024 Paulista U20
Ponte Preta U20 vs Itapirense U20
3:1
Apr 26, 2024 Paulista U20
Itapirense U20 vs Ponte Preta U20
1:3
Jun 3, 2023 Paulista U20
Ponte Preta U20 vs Itapirense U20
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ponte Preta U20 30 / 100
Itapirense U20 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ponte Preta U20 Itapirense U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Itapirense U20 conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Ponte Preta U20's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Itapirense U20 registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ponte Preta U20 VS Itapirense U20
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
2.75 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ponte Preta U20

(Home)
12 Sept
Ponte Preta U20
1 : 1
Itapirense U20
04 Sept
Mirassol U20
2 : 3
Ponte Preta U20
21 Aug
Ponte Preta U20
1 : 3
Sertaozinho U20
14 Aug
CA Juventus U20
5 : 0
Ponte Preta U20
07 Aug
Ponte Preta U20
1 : 4
Jabaquara U20
Page 1 of 7

Itapirense U20

(Away)
12 Sept
Ponte Preta U20
1 : 1
Itapirense U20
04 Sept
Itapirense U20
0 : 5
CA Juventus U20
21 Aug
Uniao Suzano U20
2 : 1
Itapirense U20
14 Aug
Itapirense U20
0 : 1
Santos U20
07 Aug
Mirassol U20
2 : 1
Itapirense U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santos U20 13 10 2 1 32:5 32
2 Corinthians U20 13 10 2 1 29:3 32
3 CA Juventus U20 13 9 1 3 35:16 28
4 Ferroviaria U20 13 7 4 2 21:9 25
5 Portuguesa U20 13 7 4 2 21:13 25
6 Sertaozinho U20 13 5 4 4 13:12 19
7 Portuguesa Santista U20 13 5 2 6 16:19 17
8 Ponte Preta U20 13 4 3 6 15:29 15
9 Uniao Suzano U20 13 4 2 7 10:21 14
10 Jabaquara U20 13 4 1 8 9:17 13
11 Itapirense U20 13 3 1 9 14:29 10
12 America SP U20 13 3 0 10 8:31 9
13 Sao Bento U20 13 2 3 8 14:24 9
14 Mirassol U20 13 1 5 7 12:21 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ibrachina U20 14 11 1 2 34:8 34
2 Sao Paulo U20 14 10 3 1 23:4 33
3 Novorizontino U20 14 7 4 3 23:13 25
4 Santo Andre U20 14 6 4 4 22:16 22
5 Desportivo U20 14 6 4 4 19:13 22
6 Osasco Sporting U20 14 5 6 3 19:17 21
7 Botafogo SP U20 14 4 7 3 24:17 19
8 Piracicaba U20 14 3 10 1 12:9 19
9 EC Sao Bernardo U20 14 3 7 4 18:18 16
10 Paulinense U20 14 4 3 7 13:18 15
11 CA Bandeirante U20 14 3 3 8 12:26 12
12 Uniao Sao Joao U20 14 2 6 6 11:15 12
13 Sao Caetano U20 14 3 2 9 14:25 11
14 Velo Clube U20 14 1 8 5 6:24 11
15 Aguai U20 14 2 2 10 10:37 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bragantino U20 14 13 0 1 61:9 39
2 Palmeiras U20 14 11 2 1 29:7 35
3 Guarani U20 14 11 1 2 28:11 34
4 Sfera U20 14 7 1 6 28:16 22
5 Osasco Audax U20 14 6 4 4 20:13 22
6 Agua Santa U20 14 6 3 5 19:23 21
7 Capivariano U20 14 5 6 3 20:14 21
8 Flamengo SP U20 14 5 2 7 11:20 17
9 XV de Jau U20 14 5 2 7 13:26 17
10 Gremio Prudente U20 14 4 4 6 22:25 16
11 Ituano U20 14 3 5 6 17:26 14
12 Referencia U20 14 4 1 9 11:21 13
13 Maua FC U20 14 2 3 9 7:28 9
14 Tanabi U20 14 2 3 9 11:37 9
15 Porto Football U20 14 2 1 11 6:27 7
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)