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Ponte Preta vs Avai - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estádio Moisés Lucarelli, Campinas
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Sub
William In: Douglas Teixeira
Out: William
31'
Reynaldo
46' Event
Jean L.
Assist: Joao Vitor

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Ponte Preta and Avai finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Avai.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Ponte Preta
30%
Draws
54%
Avai
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Avai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Ponte Preta haven't matched Avai's recent run of results.
  • Avai are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Ponte Preta Clean Sheet 15%
Avai Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ponte Preta Avai
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 1 10
Draws 5 3
Losses 23 16
Goals Scored 0.55 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Serie B
Ponte Preta vs Avai
0:2
Apr 18, 2026 Serie B
Avai vs Ponte Preta
1:2
Nov 22, 2024 Serie B
Avai vs Ponte Preta
2:1
Aug 4, 2024 Serie B
Ponte Preta vs Avai
1:0
Nov 4, 2023 Serie B
Ponte Preta vs Avai
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ponte Preta Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Avai Compare

Top Goalscorer Jean L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wenderson
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ponte Preta 19 / 100
Avai 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ponte Preta Avai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Avai Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Avai's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Ponte Preta's goal record stands at 45% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Ponte Preta has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ponte Preta VS Avai
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ponte Preta

(Home)
30 Oct
Criciuma
2 : 0
Ponte Preta
24 Oct
Ponte Preta
2 : 2
Fortaleza
16 Oct
Ponte Preta
1 : 1
Atletico GO
12 Oct
Novorizontino
5 : 1
Ponte Preta
07 Oct
Ponte Preta
0 : 2
EC Juventude
Page 1 of 6

Avai

(Away)
31 Oct
Nautico
1 : 0
Avai
24 Oct
Avai
0 : 2
Botafogo SP
18 Oct
Avai
0 : 0
Athletic Club
11 Oct
Cuiaba
0 : 1
Avai
07 Oct
Avai
2 : 1
Londrina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Novorizontino 36 19 10 7 64:31 67
2 EC Juventude 36 18 11 7 47:25 65
3 Vila Nova FC 36 18 9 9 52:38 63
4 Criciuma 36 18 8 10 38:30 62
5 Fortaleza 36 16 14 6 43:31 62
6 CRB 36 16 7 13 54:51 55
7 Goias 36 16 7 13 38:41 55
8 Sport Recife 36 14 13 9 48:39 55
9 Atletico GO 36 14 13 9 42:33 55
10 Sao Bernardo 36 14 10 12 51:40 52
11 Botafogo SP 37 14 9 14 45:39 51
12 Operario-PR 36 14 9 13 46:48 51
13 Cuiaba 36 11 14 11 33:30 47
14 Athletic Club 36 11 14 11 42:41 47
15 Nautico 36 12 10 14 40:46 46
16 Ceara 36 11 10 15 38:46 43
17 Avai 36 10 7 19 33:46 37
18 Londrina 37 8 8 21 45:58 32
19 America MG 36 7 5 24 26:55 26
20 Ponte Preta 36 3 6 27 21:78 15
Promotion - Serie A 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)