Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ponte Preta vs Avai

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estádio Moisés Lucarelli, Campinas
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Sub
William In: Douglas Teixeira
Out: William
31'
Reynaldo
46' Event
Jean L.
Assist: Joao Vitor

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Ponte Preta and Avai finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Avai.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Ponte Preta
15%
Draws
49%
Avai
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Avai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Ponte Preta haven't matched Avai's recent run of results.
  • Avai are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Ponte Preta Clean Sheet 15%
Avai Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ponte Preta Avai
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 4 10
Draws 4 5
Losses 23 14
Goals Scored 0.58 1.24
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Serie B
Ponte Preta vs Avai
0:2
Apr 18, 2026 Serie B
Avai vs Ponte Preta
1:2
Nov 22, 2024 Serie B
Avai vs Ponte Preta
2:1
Aug 4, 2024 Serie B
Ponte Preta vs Avai
1:0
Nov 4, 2023 Serie B
Ponte Preta vs Avai
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ponte Preta Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Avai Compare

Top Goalscorer Jean L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wenderson
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ponte Preta 10 / 100
Avai 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ponte Preta Avai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Avai Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Avai's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Avai's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Ponte Preta scored in 48% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ponte Preta VS Avai
0.25 Goals Scored 0.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ponte Preta

(Home)
20 Sept
Ponte Preta
1 : 0
CRB
15 Sept
Londrina
6 : 0
Ponte Preta
11 Sept
Sport Recife
2 : 0
Ponte Preta
06 Sept
Ponte Preta
0 : 2
Sao Bernardo
30 Aug
America MG
2 : 0
Ponte Preta
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Avai

(Away)
15 Sept
Avai
1 : 1
Vila Nova FC
09 Sept
Fortaleza
1 : 0
Avai
05 Sept
Novorizontino
3 : 1
Avai
30 Aug
Avai
0 : 1
Atletico GO
23 Aug
Ponte Preta
0 : 2
Avai
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Nova FC 29 15 6 8 41:31 51
2 Novorizontino 29 14 8 7 49:27 50
3 EC Juventude 29 14 8 7 31:19 50
4 Fortaleza 28 13 9 6 31:23 48
5 Criciuma 28 13 8 7 28:25 47
6 Atletico GO 29 12 10 7 36:27 46
7 CRB 28 13 6 9 42:40 45
8 Operario-PR 28 12 8 8 39:36 44
9 Sport Recife 29 11 11 7 39:29 44
10 Sao Bernardo 29 11 8 10 40:31 41
11 Athletic Club 29 10 11 8 34:31 41
12 Cuiaba 28 9 13 6 27:22 40
13 Goias 28 11 6 11 28:34 39
14 Nautico 28 10 8 10 35:33 38
15 Ceara 29 9 8 12 31:37 35
16 Botafogo SP 29 8 8 13 32:36 32
17 Avai 28 8 6 14 29:36 30
18 Londrina 28 7 7 14 38:39 28
19 America MG 29 4 5 20 21:49 17
20 Ponte Preta 28 2 4 22 16:62 10
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)