Sport Picks

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Ponte Preta vs Botafogo SP

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estádio Moisés Lucarelli, Campinas
Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Tavares D.
32'
Willian Pottker
32'
Sub
Marcio Silva In: Weverton
Out: Marcio Silva

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Ponte Preta
17%
Draws
70%
Botafogo SP
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Botafogo SP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Botafogo SP have won more games recently than Ponte Preta.
  • Model gives Botafogo SP a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Ponte Preta Clean Sheet 15%
Botafogo SP Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ponte Preta Botafogo SP
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 3 8
Draws 3 9
Losses 23 11
Goals Scored 0.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2026 Serie B
Ponte Preta vs Botafogo SP
0:0
Feb 15, 2025 Paulista
Ponte Preta vs Botafogo SP
0:0
Oct 5, 2024 Serie B
Ponte Preta vs Botafogo SP
1:0
Jun 20, 2024 Serie B
Botafogo SP vs Ponte Preta
2:0
Feb 7, 2024 Paulista
Botafogo SP vs Ponte Preta
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ponte Preta 15 / 100
Botafogo SP 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ponte Preta Botafogo SP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botafogo SP let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Ponte Preta scored in 48% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Botafogo SP's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ponte Preta VS Botafogo SP
0.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ponte Preta

(Home)
22 Jul
Operario-PR
3 : 2
Ponte Preta
18 Jul
Ponte Preta
1 : 2
Goias
08 Jul
Ponte Preta
1 : 2
Criciuma
03 Jul
Fortaleza
2 : 0
Ponte Preta
28 Jun
Atletico GO
2 : 0
Ponte Preta
Page 1 of 6

Botafogo SP

(Away)
18 Jul
Londrina
0 : 0
Botafogo SP
10 Jul
Sport Recife
3 : 3
Botafogo SP
06 Jul
Botafogo SP
3 : 1
Avai
30 Jun
Botafogo SP
0 : 1
CRB
20 Jun
Ceara
0 : 1
Botafogo SP
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Criciuma19116223:1239
2Vila Nova FC19104527:2234
3EC Juventude1895419:832
4Operario-PR1895424:2032
5Fortaleza1994622:1931
6Novorizontino1986528:1830
7Goias1884620:2428
8Sao Bernardo1876524:1727
9Sport Recife1869323:1727
10Atletico GO1867519:1925
11Cuiaba1859414:1324
12Athletic Club1859416:1624
13CRB1865728:3223
14Nautico1863922:2321
15Botafogo SP1856720:1821
16Londrina1855825:2520
17Avai1955921:2620
18Ceara1847716:2119
19Ponte Preta18221412:358
20America MG19151313:318
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)