Sport Picks

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Ponte Preta vs Botafogo SP

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estádio Moisés Lucarelli, Campinas
Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Tavares D.
32'
Willian Pottker
32'
Sub
Marcio Silva In: Weverton
Out: Marcio Silva

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Ponte Preta
15%
Draws
85%
Botafogo SP
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Botafogo SP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Botafogo SP have won more games recently than Ponte Preta.
  • Model gives Botafogo SP a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Ponte Preta Clean Sheet 16%
Botafogo SP Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ponte Preta Botafogo SP
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 2 8
Draws 4 7
Losses 23 14
Goals Scored 0.55 1.07
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2026 Serie B
Ponte Preta vs Botafogo SP
0:0
Feb 15, 2025 Paulista
Ponte Preta vs Botafogo SP
0:0
Oct 5, 2024 Serie B
Ponte Preta vs Botafogo SP
1:0
Jun 20, 2024 Serie B
Botafogo SP vs Ponte Preta
2:0
Feb 7, 2024 Paulista
Botafogo SP vs Ponte Preta
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ponte Preta 28 / 100
Botafogo SP 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ponte Preta Botafogo SP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botafogo SP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botafogo SP let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Botafogo SP lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Ponte Preta found the back of the net in 45% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Ponte Preta VS Botafogo SP
0.25 Goals Scored 0.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ponte Preta

(Home)
15 Sept
Londrina
6 : 0
Ponte Preta
11 Sept
Sport Recife
2 : 0
Ponte Preta
06 Sept
Ponte Preta
0 : 2
Sao Bernardo
30 Aug
America MG
2 : 0
Ponte Preta
23 Aug
Ponte Preta
0 : 2
Avai
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Botafogo SP

(Away)
14 Sept
Botafogo SP
1 : 3
Goias
09 Sept
Botafogo SP
1 : 3
Novorizontino
03 Sept
Nautico
1 : 0
Botafogo SP
29 Aug
Botafogo SP
1 : 2
Cuiaba
25 Aug
Atletico GO
3 : 0
Botafogo SP
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Novorizontino 28 14 8 6 48:25 50
2 EC Juventude 28 14 8 6 30:17 50
3 Vila Nova FC 28 14 6 8 40:31 48
4 Fortaleza 28 13 9 6 31:23 48
5 Criciuma 28 13 8 7 28:25 47
6 Atletico GO 28 12 10 6 36:26 46
7 CRB 28 13 6 9 42:40 45
8 Operario-PR 28 12 8 8 39:36 44
9 Sport Recife 28 10 11 7 37:28 41
10 Athletic Club 28 10 10 8 33:30 40
11 Cuiaba 28 9 13 6 27:22 40
12 Goias 28 11 6 11 28:34 39
13 Sao Bernardo 28 10 8 10 39:31 38
14 Nautico 28 10 8 10 35:33 38
15 Ceara 28 8 8 12 29:36 32
16 Botafogo SP 28 8 7 13 31:35 31
17 Avai 28 8 6 14 29:36 30
18 Londrina 28 7 7 14 38:39 28
19 America MG 28 4 5 19 21:48 17
20 Ponte Preta 28 2 4 22 16:62 10
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)