Sport Picks

Brazil

Serie B Estádio Moisés Lucarelli, Campinas

Ponte Preta

1 - 2

Criciuma

Our Tip

Match Events

12'

Marcelo Hermes

Assist: Willean Lepo

18'

Lucas Cunha

46'

Sub

Tavares D. In: Diego Porfirio

Out: Tavares D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Criciuma in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Criciuma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Ponte Preta

Draws

90%

Criciuma

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Criciuma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Criciuma lately — more wins on the board than Ponte Preta.
Model gives Criciuma a 90% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 0%

Over 4.5 Goals 0%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%

Ponte Preta Clean Sheet 15%

Criciuma Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ponte Preta	Criciuma
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	3	16
Draws	3	9
Losses	23	4
Goals Scored	0.38	1.25
Goals Conceded	1.88	0.5
Expected Goals (xG)	0.38	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2026 Serie B

Ponte Preta vs Criciuma

1:2

Aug 2, 2023 Serie B

Criciuma vs Ponte Preta

2:1

Apr 22, 2023 Serie B

Ponte Preta vs Criciuma

1:2

Oct 29, 2022 Serie B

Ponte Preta vs Criciuma

1:1

Jul 15, 2022 Serie B

Criciuma vs Ponte Preta

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ponte Preta Compare

Top Goalscorer Baianinho

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.29

Avg xA / game 0.19

Criciuma Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcelo Hermes

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ponte Preta 10 / 100

Criciuma 95 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ponte Preta Criciuma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CRI Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Ponte Preta's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Criciuma's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ponte Preta VS Criciuma

0.38 Goals Scored 1.25

1.88 Goals Conceded 0.5

88% Over 1.5 50%

50% Over 2.5 25%

0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ponte Preta

(Home)

22 Jul

Operario-PR

3 : 2

Ponte Preta

18 Jul

Ponte Preta

1 : 2

Goias

08 Jul

Ponte Preta

1 : 2

Criciuma

03 Jul

Fortaleza

2 : 0

Ponte Preta

28 Jun

Atletico GO

2 : 0

Ponte Preta

Page 1 of 6

Criciuma

(Away)

21 Jul

Novorizontino

0 : 1

Criciuma

18 Jul

Criciuma

2 : 0

Vila Nova FC

08 Jul

Ponte Preta

1 : 2

Criciuma

04 Jul

Criciuma

1 : 0

Sport Recife

27 Jun

Criciuma

1 : 0

Sao Bernardo

Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Criciuma	19	11	6	2	23:12	39
2	Operario-PR	19	10	5	4	27:22	35
3	Vila Nova FC	19	10	4	5	27:22	34
4	EC Juventude	19	9	5	5	21:12	32
5	Fortaleza	19	9	4	6	22:19	31
6	Novorizontino	19	8	6	5	28:18	30
7	Goias	19	8	5	6	21:25	29
8	Atletico GO	19	7	7	5	20:19	28
9	Sport Recife	19	6	10	3	24:18	28
10	Sao Bernardo	19	7	6	6	25:19	27
11	Athletic Club	19	6	9	4	18:17	27
12	CRB	19	7	5	7	29:32	26
13	Nautico	19	7	3	9	24:24	24
14	Botafogo SP	19	6	6	7	24:20	24
15	Cuiaba	19	5	9	5	14:14	24
16	Londrina	19	5	5	9	26:27	20
17	Avai	19	5	5	9	21:26	20
18	Ceara	19	4	7	8	16:22	19
19	Ponte Preta	19	2	2	15	14:38	8
20	America MG	19	1	5	13	13:31	8

Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)

Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)

Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)