Sport Picks
Ponte Preta vs Criciuma
Brazil
Serie B Estádio Moisés Lucarelli, Campinas 
Match Events
12'
12'
Marcelo Hermes
Assist: Willean Lepo
18'
18'
Lucas Cunha
46'
46'
Sub
Tavares D. In: Diego Porfirio
Out: Tavares D.
AI Match Summary
Criciuma in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Criciuma.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ponte Preta
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Criciuma lately — more wins on the board than Ponte Preta.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Ponte Preta Clean Sheet 14%
Criciuma Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ponte Preta | Criciuma |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 3 | 12 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 21 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.57 | 0.96 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.14 | 0.96 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 8, 2026 Serie B
Ponte Preta vs Criciuma
1:2
Aug 2, 2023 Serie B
Criciuma vs Ponte Preta
2:1
Apr 22, 2023 Serie B
Ponte Preta vs Criciuma
1:2
Oct 29, 2022 Serie B
Ponte Preta vs Criciuma
1:1
Jul 15, 2022 Serie B
Criciuma vs Ponte Preta
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ponte Preta Compare
Top Goalscorer Baianinho
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Criciuma Compare
Top Goalscorer Marcelo Hermes
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ponte Preta 35 / 100
Criciuma 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ponte Preta Criciuma
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Criciuma Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Criciuma conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Criciuma's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Ponte Preta scored in 46% of their last 28 games.
Scoring Trends
Ponte Preta VS Criciuma
0.25 Goals Scored 0.63
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Ponte Preta
(Home) 20 Sept
Ponte Preta
1 : 0 CRB
15 Sept
Londrina
6 : 0 Ponte Preta
11 Sept
Sport Recife
2 : 0 Ponte Preta
06 Sept
Ponte Preta
0 : 2 Sao Bernardo
30 Aug
America MG
2 : 0 Ponte Preta
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Ponte Preta
1 : 0 CRB
06 Sept
Ponte Preta
0 : 2 Sao Bernardo
23 Aug
Ponte Preta
0 : 2 Avai
14 Aug
Ponte Preta
1 : 1 Nautico
28 Jul
Ponte Preta
1 : 1 Athletic Club
Page 1 of 3
Criciuma
(Away) 22 Sept
Criciuma
0 : 2 Operario-PR
13 Sept
Atletico GO
4 : 0 Criciuma
09 Sept
Criciuma
0 : 2 EC Juventude
04 Sept
Criciuma
2 : 0 Cuiaba
30 Aug
CRB
2 : 1 Criciuma
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Atletico GO
4 : 0 Criciuma
30 Aug
CRB
2 : 1 Criciuma
20 Aug
Botafogo SP
1 : 1 Criciuma
09 Aug
Athletic Club
2 : 0 Criciuma
21 Jul
Novorizontino
0 : 1 Criciuma
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vila Nova FC | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 43:31 | 54 |
| 2 | Novorizontino | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 49:27 | 51 |
| 3 | Fortaleza | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 33:24 | 51 |
| 4 | EC Juventude | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 31:19 | 50 |
| 5 | Atletico GO | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 37:27 | 49 |
| 6 | Operario-PR | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 43:38 | 48 |
| 7 | Criciuma | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 28:27 | 47 |
| 8 | CRB | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 42:41 | 45 |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 40:32 | 44 |
| 10 | Cuiaba | 29 | 10 | 13 | 6 | 30:22 | 43 |
| 11 | Goias | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 30:36 | 42 |
| 12 | Sao Bernardo | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 40:31 | 42 |
| 13 | Nautico | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 38:37 | 41 |
| 14 | Athletic Club | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 34:31 | 41 |
| 15 | Ceara | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 33:39 | 36 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 32:36 | 32 |
| 17 | Avai | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 30:38 | 30 |
| 18 | Londrina | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 39:43 | 28 |
| 19 | America MG | 29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 21:49 | 17 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 29 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 17:62 | 13 |
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)
