Sport Picks
Match Events
7'
7'
David Miguel
36'
36'
Joao Basso
Assist: Pepe
41'
41'
Danilo Barcelos
AI Match Summary
Cuiaba in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cuiaba.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
44%
20%
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Cuiaba lately — more wins on the board than Ponte Preta.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Ponte Preta Clean Sheet 16%
Cuiaba Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ponte Preta | Cuiaba |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 3 | 5 |
| Draws | 4 | 12 |
| Losses | 22 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.38 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.88 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.38 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.88 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 9, 2026 Serie B
Ponte Preta vs Cuiaba
1:2
Jan 11, 2021 Serie B
Ponte Preta vs Cuiaba
2:2
Oct 9, 2020 Serie B
Cuiaba vs Ponte Preta
2:1
Sep 28, 2019 Serie B
Ponte Preta vs Cuiaba
3:0
Jun 1, 2019 Serie B
Cuiaba vs Ponte Preta
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ponte Preta Compare
Top Goalscorer Tarik
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19
Cuiaba Compare
Top Goalscorer Joao Basso
1 Goals Assists Leader Kauan Cristtyan
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ponte Preta 36 / 100
Cuiaba 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ponte Preta Cuiaba
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CUI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
Cuiaba has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Ponte Preta found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).
Solid form: Ponte Preta remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Ponte Preta VS Cuiaba
0.38 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Ponte Preta
(Home) 28 Jul
Ponte Preta
1 : 1 Athletic Club
22 Jul
Operario-PR
3 : 2 Ponte Preta
18 Jul
Ponte Preta
1 : 2 Goias
08 Jul
Ponte Preta
1 : 2 Criciuma
03 Jul
Fortaleza
2 : 0 Ponte Preta
Page 1 of 6
28 Jul
Ponte Preta
1 : 1 Athletic Club
18 Jul
Ponte Preta
1 : 2 Goias
08 Jul
Ponte Preta
1 : 2 Criciuma
22 Jun
Ponte Preta
0 : 2 Novorizontino
09 Jun
Ponte Preta
1 : 2 Cuiaba
Page 1 of 4
Cuiaba
(Away) 27 Jul
Sport Recife
1 : 1 Cuiaba
23 Jul
Cuiaba
0 : 1 Atletico GO
17 Jul
EC Juventude
2 : 0 Cuiaba
12 Jul
Sao Bernardo
2 : 2 Cuiaba
02 Jul
Cuiaba
1 : 0 America MG
Page 1 of 6
27 Jul
Sport Recife
1 : 1 Cuiaba
17 Jul
EC Juventude
2 : 0 Cuiaba
12 Jul
Sao Bernardo
2 : 2 Cuiaba
21 Jun
Avai
1 : 0 Cuiaba
09 Jun
Ponte Preta
1 : 2 Cuiaba
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Criciuma | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 23:12 | 40 |
| 2 | EC Juventude | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 22:12 | 35 |
| 3 | Operario-PR | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 28:25 | 35 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 23:19 | 34 |
| 5 | Vila Nova FC | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 27:24 | 34 |
| 6 | Novorizontino | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 32:19 | 33 |
| 7 | Atletico GO | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 23:20 | 31 |
| 8 | CRB | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 31:32 | 29 |
| 9 | Goias | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 21:26 | 29 |
| 10 | Sport Recife | 20 | 6 | 11 | 3 | 25:19 | 29 |
| 11 | Athletic Club | 20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 19:18 | 28 |
| 12 | Sao Bernardo | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 28:23 | 27 |
| 13 | Nautico | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 24:24 | 25 |
| 14 | Cuiaba | 20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 15:15 | 25 |
| 15 | Botafogo SP | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 24:21 | 24 |
| 16 | Ceara | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20:25 | 22 |
| 17 | Londrina | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 27:31 | 20 |
| 18 | Avai | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 21:27 | 20 |
| 19 | America MG | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 14:31 | 11 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 20 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15:39 | 9 |
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)
