Sport Picks
Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Serie B Estádio Moisés Lucarelli, Campinas 
AI Match Summary
Ponte Preta host Fortaleza in the Serie B. Fortaleza are expected to control this from the start. Ponte Preta have averaged 0.5 scored and 2.39 conceded recently, against Fortaleza's 1.24 scored and 1 conceded. Head-to-head, Ponte Preta have won 1 to Fortaleza's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Jul 3, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 0.50 vs 1.94, favoring Fortaleza. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Fortaleza come out ahead of Ponte Preta on wins alone.
- Model gives Fortaleza a 52% chance of winning this.
- Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ponte Preta | Fortaleza |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 33 |
| Wins | 2 | 14 |
| Draws | 3 | 10 |
| Losses | 23 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.5 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.39 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.50 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Fortaleza let in goals in 64% of their last 33 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Ponte Preta scored in 43% of their last 28 outings.
Recent resilience: Ponte Preta stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Ponte Preta
(Home)Fortaleza
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vila Nova FC | 33 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 46:31 | 61 |
| 2 | Novorizontino | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 59:28 | 60 |
| 3 | EC Juventude | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 39:21 | 60 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 41:29 | 60 |
| 5 | Criciuma | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 34:28 | 56 |
| 6 | Atletico GO | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 42:32 | 54 |
| 7 | CRB | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 51:47 | 52 |
| 8 | Sport Recife | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 45:37 | 51 |
| 9 | Goias | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 34:40 | 48 |
| 10 | Operario-PR | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 44:45 | 48 |
| 11 | Cuiaba | 33 | 11 | 14 | 8 | 32:26 | 47 |
| 12 | Sao Bernardo | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 46:36 | 46 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 40:39 | 43 |
| 14 | Nautico | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 39:42 | 42 |
| 15 | Ceara | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 35:40 | 42 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 37:38 | 41 |
| 17 | Avai | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 33:43 | 36 |
| 18 | Londrina | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 42:49 | 29 |
| 19 | America MG | 33 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 21:54 | 17 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 34 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 19:74 | 14 |
