Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ponte Preta vs Novorizontino

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estádio Moisés Lucarelli, Campinas
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Tavinho
16'
Marcio Silva
24'
Andre Lima

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Ponte Preta and Novorizontino finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Novorizontino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Ponte Preta
15%
Draws
65%
Novorizontino
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Novorizontino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Novorizontino come out ahead of Ponte Preta on wins alone.
  • Model gives Novorizontino a 65% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Ponte Preta Clean Sheet 10%
Novorizontino Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ponte Preta Novorizontino
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 15
Draws 4 7
Losses 22 8
Goals Scored 0.6 1.73
Goals Conceded 2.07 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.44 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 22, 2026 Serie B
Ponte Preta vs Novorizontino
0:2
Jan 15, 2025 Paulista
Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta
0:1
Oct 1, 2024 Serie B
Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta
2:1
Jun 15, 2024 Serie B
Ponte Preta vs Novorizontino
1:0
Mar 3, 2024 Paulista
Ponte Preta vs Novorizontino
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ponte Preta Compare

Avg xG / game 0.34
Avg xA / game 0.22

Novorizontino Compare

Top Goalscorer Robson
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ponte Preta 10 / 100
Novorizontino 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ponte Preta Novorizontino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Novorizontino Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Novorizontino's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Ponte Preta found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Ponte Preta has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ponte Preta VS Novorizontino
0.13 Goals Scored 2
2.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ponte Preta

(Home)
20 Sept
Ponte Preta
1 : 0
CRB
15 Sept
Londrina
6 : 0
Ponte Preta
11 Sept
Sport Recife
2 : 0
Ponte Preta
06 Sept
Ponte Preta
0 : 2
Sao Bernardo
30 Aug
America MG
2 : 0
Ponte Preta
Page 1 of 6

Novorizontino

(Away)
18 Sept
Ceara
2 : 1
Novorizontino
13 Sept
Novorizontino
1 : 1
Cuiaba
09 Sept
Botafogo SP
1 : 3
Novorizontino
05 Sept
Novorizontino
3 : 1
Avai
28 Aug
Novorizontino
2 : 1
Sport Recife
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Nova FC 29 15 6 8 41:31 51
2 Fortaleza 29 14 9 6 33:24 51
3 Novorizontino 29 14 8 7 49:27 50
4 EC Juventude 29 14 8 7 31:19 50
5 Criciuma 28 13 8 7 28:25 47
6 Atletico GO 29 12 10 7 36:27 46
7 CRB 29 13 6 10 42:41 45
8 Operario-PR 28 12 8 8 39:36 44
9 Sport Recife 29 11 11 7 39:29 44
10 Cuiaba 29 10 13 6 30:22 43
11 Goias 29 12 6 11 30:35 42
12 Sao Bernardo 29 11 8 10 40:31 41
13 Athletic Club 29 10 11 8 34:31 41
14 Nautico 29 10 8 11 35:36 38
15 Ceara 29 9 8 12 31:37 35
16 Botafogo SP 29 8 8 13 32:36 32
17 Avai 29 8 6 15 30:38 30
18 Londrina 29 7 7 15 39:41 28
19 America MG 29 4 5 20 21:49 17
20 Ponte Preta 29 3 4 22 17:62 13
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)