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Ponte Preta vs Operario-PR - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estádio Moisés Lucarelli, Campinas
Sat, Nov 14, 2026
VS
07:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ponte Preta host Operario-PR in the Serie B. Operario-PR go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: Ponte Preta at 0.55 goals for, 2.38 against; Operario-PR at 1.38 for, 1.52 against. Past meetings favor Operario-PR slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 22, 2026, ending 3:2. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward Operario-PR. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Ponte Preta
20%
Draws
48%
Operario-PR
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Operario-PR

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Operario-PR lately — more wins on the board than Ponte Preta.
  • 48% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Ponte Preta Clean Sheet 20%
Operario-PR Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ponte Preta Operario-PR
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 1 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 23 12
Goals Scored 0.55 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2026 Serie B
Operario-PR vs Ponte Preta
3:2
Aug 24, 2024 Serie B
Ponte Preta vs Operario-PR
0:1
May 11, 2024 Serie B
Operario-PR vs Ponte Preta
1:1
Jul 30, 2022 Serie B
Ponte Preta vs Operario-PR
3:0
Apr 16, 2022 Serie B
Operario-PR vs Ponte Preta
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ponte Preta 32 / 100
Operario-PR 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ponte Preta Operario-PR

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Operario-PR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Operario-PR's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Away concern: Operario-PR has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Ponte Preta scored in 45% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Ponte Preta VS Operario-PR
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ponte Preta

(Home)
30 Oct
Criciuma
2 : 0
Ponte Preta
24 Oct
Ponte Preta
2 : 2
Fortaleza
16 Oct
Ponte Preta
1 : 1
Atletico GO
12 Oct
Novorizontino
5 : 1
Ponte Preta
07 Oct
Ponte Preta
0 : 2
EC Juventude
Page 1 of 6

Operario-PR

(Away)
01 Nov
Novorizontino
2 : 1
Operario-PR
23 Oct
Operario-PR
1 : 0
Athletic Club
17 Oct
America MG
1 : 0
Operario-PR
11 Oct
Operario-PR
0 : 2
Goias
07 Oct
Operario-PR
1 : 2
Botafogo SP
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Novorizontino 36 19 10 7 64:31 67
2 EC Juventude 36 18 11 7 47:25 65
3 Vila Nova FC 36 18 9 9 52:38 63
4 Criciuma 36 18 8 10 38:30 62
5 Fortaleza 36 16 14 6 43:31 62
6 CRB 36 16 7 13 54:51 55
7 Goias 36 16 7 13 38:41 55
8 Sport Recife 36 14 13 9 48:39 55
9 Atletico GO 36 14 13 9 42:33 55
10 Sao Bernardo 36 14 10 12 51:40 52
11 Operario-PR 36 14 9 13 46:48 51
12 Botafogo SP 36 13 9 14 41:39 48
13 Cuiaba 36 11 14 11 33:30 47
14 Athletic Club 36 11 14 11 42:41 47
15 Nautico 36 12 10 14 40:46 46
16 Ceara 36 11 10 15 38:46 43
17 Avai 36 10 7 19 33:46 37
18 Londrina 36 8 8 20 45:54 32
19 America MG 36 7 5 24 26:55 26
20 Ponte Preta 36 3 6 27 21:78 15
Promotion - Serie A 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)