Sport Picks
Ponte Preta vs Vila Nova FC
Brazil
Serie B Estádio Moisés Lucarelli 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Ponte Preta host Vila Nova FC in the Serie B. Vila Nova FC go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: Ponte Preta at 0.5 goals for, 2.38 against; Vila Nova FC at 1.63 for, 1 against. Head-to-head, Ponte Preta have won 2 to Vila Nova FC's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 0.75 vs 2.00, favoring Vila Nova FC. Vila Nova FC in a double chance market carries the safer edge.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Vila Nova FC has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Ponte Preta.
- Model forecasts a 80% win probability edge for Vila Nova FC.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in Serie B provide steady trend data.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ponte Preta | Vila Nova FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 4 | 13 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 21 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.5 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.38 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.50 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.38 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ponte Preta Compare
Vila Nova FC Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ponte Preta scored in 45% of their last 29 games.
Vila Nova FC let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Ponte Preta went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.
Vila Nova FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Criciuma | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 20:12 | 33 |
| 2 | Vila Nova FC | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 25:19 | 31 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 27:14 | 30 |
| 4 | EC Juventude | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 17:8 | 29 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 28 |
| 6 | Operario-PR | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20:17 | 28 |
| 7 | Sport Recife | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 21:15 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Bernardo | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 21:14 | 25 |
| 9 | Goias | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 16:21 | 24 |
| 10 | Cuiaba | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 12:9 | 23 |
| 11 | Athletic Club | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 16:16 | 22 |
| 12 | Nautico | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 21:19 | 21 |
| 13 | Atletico GO | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 18:19 | 21 |
| 14 | Botafogo SP | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 20:18 | 20 |
| 15 | CRB | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 24:29 | 19 |
| 16 | Londrina | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 24:24 | 18 |
| 17 | Ceara | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 15:20 | 17 |
| 18 | Avai | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 16:24 | 13 |
| 19 | Ponte Preta | 17 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11:33 | 8 |
| 20 | America MG | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 10:27 | 6 |