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Pontefract Collieries vs Yorkshire Amateur

England England

FA Trophy 2021/2022
Sat, Sep 25, 2021
1 - 2
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pontefract Collieries play Yorkshire Amateur in the FA Trophy 2021/2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Pontefract Collieries averaged 1.67 goals scored and 2.26 conceded. Yorkshire Amateur averaged 1.14 goals scored and 1.86 conceded. In past meetings, Pontefract Collieries won 0, Yorkshire Amateur won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 25, 2021 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.58 for Pontefract Collieries and 1.63 for Yorkshire Amateur. This points to a Yorkshire Amateur double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Pontefract Collieries
15%
Draws
48%
Yorkshire Amateur
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Yorkshire Amateur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Pontefract Collieries picked up more points recently compared to Yorkshire Amateur.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.58 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 77%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 77%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Pontefract Collieries Clean Sheet 14%
Yorkshire Amateur Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pontefract Collieries Yorkshire Amateur
Matches Played 27 7
Wins 10 3
Draws 2 0
Losses 15 4
Goals Scored 1.67 1.14
Goals Conceded 2.26 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2021 FA Trophy
Pontefract Collieries vs Yorkshire Amateur
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pontefract Collieries 36 / 100
Yorkshire Amateur 45 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pontefract Collieries Yorkshire Amateur

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Yorkshire Amateur or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.6%
1.41
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Pontefract Collieries attacking → ← attacking Yorkshire Amateur

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pontefract Collieries scored in 70% of their last 27 games.

Yorkshire Amateur let in goals in 86% of their last 7 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Pontefract Collieries went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Yorkshire Amateur lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 9
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.67