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Pontejos vs Escuela Meruelo

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Tercera Division - Group 3 2012/2013
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 3 2012/2013 game between Pontejos and Escuela Meruelo finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pontejos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Pontejos
15%
Draws
0%
Escuela Meruelo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pontejos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pontejos come out ahead of Escuela Meruelo on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Pontejos's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 3 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Pontejos Clean Sheet 20%
Escuela Meruelo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pontejos Escuela Meruelo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 5 5
Losses 18 19
Goals Scored 1.17 0.93
Goals Conceded 2.27 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 20, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Pontejos vs Escuela Meruelo
3:1
Sep 1, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Escuela Meruelo vs Pontejos
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pontejos 85 / 100
Escuela Meruelo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pontejos Escuela Meruelo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pontejos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Escuela Meruelo let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Away concern: Escuela Meruelo has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Pontejos found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Escuela Meruelo
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pontejos

(Home)
11 May
Barreda Balompie
4 : 2
Pontejos
04 May
Pontejos
3 : 0
Guarnizo
26 Apr
Ribamontan al Mar
1 : 2
Pontejos
20 Apr
Pontejos
0 : 1
Gama
17 Apr
Castro
4 : 0
Pontejos
Page 1 of 6

Escuela Meruelo

(Away)
13 May
Escuela Meruelo
3 : 4
Velarde
06 May
UM Escobedo
3 : 0
Escuela Meruelo
30 Apr
Escuela Meruelo
1 : 2
Barreda Balompie
23 Apr
CD Tropezon
2 : 0
Escuela Meruelo
13 Apr
Escuela Meruelo
0 : 5
Guarnizo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Tropezon 38 25 8 5 87:32 83
2 Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive) 38 25 8 5 76:27 83
3 Cayon CD 38 20 13 5 50:22 73
4 CD Laredo 38 18 14 6 54:30 68
5 Castro 38 20 8 10 52:33 68
6 Vimenor 38 17 10 11 53:43 61
7 Barreda Balompie 38 17 9 12 50:44 60
8 Santona 38 16 10 12 53:51 58
9 CD Siete Villas 38 15 8 15 48:49 53
10 Guarnizo 38 13 13 12 45:41 52
11 UM Escobedo 38 14 9 15 67:54 51
12 Gama 38 15 5 18 35:42 50
13 Bezana 38 11 14 13 42:47 47
14 Atletico Albericia 38 12 11 15 50:51 47
15 Pontejos 38 13 8 17 45:55 47
16 Ribamontan al Mar 38 11 12 15 42:51 45
17 Deportiva Santillana 38 9 9 20 43:65 36
18 Textil Escudo 38 8 6 24 35:69 30
19 Escuela Meruelo 38 5 7 26 33:85 22
20 San Martin Arena 38 2 6 30 16:85 12
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)