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Pontejos vs Guarnizo

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 3 2013/2014
Pontejos Logo

Pontejos

3 - 0
FT
Guarnizo Logo

Guarnizo

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 3 2013/2014 game between Pontejos and Guarnizo finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pontejos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Pontejos
20%
Draws
20%
Guarnizo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pontejos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Guarnizo come out ahead of Pontejos on wins alone.
  • Model gives Pontejos a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 3 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Pontejos Clean Sheet 19%
Guarnizo Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pontejos Guarnizo
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 17
Draws 5 7
Losses 18 7
Goals Scored 1.17 1.35
Goals Conceded 2.27 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Pontejos vs Guarnizo
3:0
Jan 4, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Guarnizo vs Pontejos
3:0
May 19, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Pontejos vs Guarnizo
1:1
Jan 5, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Guarnizo vs Pontejos
1:0
May 12, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Guarnizo vs Pontejos
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pontejos 49 / 100
Guarnizo 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pontejos Guarnizo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pontejos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pontejos found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Guarnizo lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Guarnizo conceded in 48% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Guarnizo
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pontejos

(Home)
11 May
Barreda Balompie
4 : 2
Pontejos
04 May
Pontejos
3 : 0
Guarnizo
26 Apr
Ribamontan al Mar
1 : 2
Pontejos
20 Apr
Pontejos
0 : 1
Gama
17 Apr
Castro
4 : 0
Pontejos
Page 1 of 6

Guarnizo

(Away)
12 Sept
Guarnizo
0 : 1
Cayon CD
06 Sept
Atletico Mineros
2 : 1
Guarnizo
24 May
CD Tropezon
3 : 0
Guarnizo
17 May
Guarnizo
0 : 0
CD Tropezon
09 May
Bezana
1 : 1
Guarnizo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 38 27 8 3 82:18 89
2 CD Laredo 38 23 8 7 71:31 77
3 Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive) 38 21 9 8 60:37 72
4 UM Escobedo 38 19 14 5 50:30 71
5 CD Siete Villas 38 16 13 9 60:44 61
6 Cayon CD 38 18 7 13 46:36 61
7 Gama 38 16 10 12 44:34 58
8 Rayo Cantabria 38 14 12 12 52:39 54
9 Atletico Albericia 38 15 9 14 38:44 54
10 Buelna 38 14 11 13 46:46 53
11 Vimenor 38 11 18 9 49:48 51
12 Bezana 38 13 11 14 49:54 50
13 CD Colindres 38 12 10 16 43:59 46
14 Castro 38 12 6 20 47:63 42
15 Selaya 38 10 11 17 39:57 41
16 Barreda Balompie 38 11 8 19 48:67 41
17 Santona 38 11 8 19 42:59 41
18 Pontejos 38 10 7 21 47:78 37
19 Guarnizo 38 6 5 27 42:78 23
20 Ribamontan al Mar 38 3 11 24 31:64 20
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)