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Pontejos vs Guarnizo

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Tercera Division - Group 3 2013/2014
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 3 2013/2014 game between Pontejos and Guarnizo finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pontejos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Pontejos
44%
Draws
20%
Guarnizo
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Guarnizo come out ahead of Pontejos on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 3 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Pontejos Clean Sheet 19%
Guarnizo Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pontejos Guarnizo
Matches Played 32 47
Wins 7 26
Draws 6 14
Losses 19 7
Goals Scored 0 1.38
Goals Conceded 0 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Pontejos vs Guarnizo
3:0
Jan 4, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Guarnizo vs Pontejos
3:0
May 19, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Pontejos vs Guarnizo
1:1
Jan 5, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Guarnizo vs Pontejos
1:0
May 12, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Guarnizo vs Pontejos
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pontejos 36 / 100
Guarnizo 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pontejos Guarnizo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pontejos found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (32 games).

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Guarnizo let in goals in 47% of their last 47 matches.

Solid form: Pontejos remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Guarnizo
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pontejos

(Home)
11 May
Barreda Balompie
4 : 2
Pontejos
04 May
Pontejos
3 : 0
Guarnizo
26 Apr
Ribamontan al Mar
1 : 2
Pontejos
20 Apr
Pontejos
0 : 1
Gama
17 Apr
Castro
4 : 0
Pontejos
Page 1 of 7

Guarnizo

(Away)
24 May
CD Tropezon
3 : 0
Guarnizo
17 May
Guarnizo
0 : 0
CD Tropezon
09 May
Bezana
1 : 1
Guarnizo
03 May
Guarnizo
2 : 2
Torina
26 Apr
CD Barquereno
0 : 1
Guarnizo
Page 1 of 10

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gimnastic de Torrelavega38278382:1889
2CD Laredo38238771:3177
3Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive)38219860:3772
4UM Escobedo381914550:3071
5CD Siete Villas381613960:4461
6Cayon CD381871346:3661
7Gama3816101244:3458
8Rayo Cantabria3814121252:3954
9Atletico Albericia381591438:4454
10Buelna3814111346:4653
11Vimenor381118949:4851
12Bezana3813111449:5450
13CD Colindres3812101643:5946
14Castro381262047:6342
15Selaya3810111739:5741
16Barreda Balompie381181948:6741
17Santona381181942:5941
18Pontejos381072147:7837
19Guarnizo38652742:7823
20Ribamontan al Mar383112431:6420
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)