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Pontellas vs CD AS Pontes

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pontellas in this Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pontellas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Pontellas
35%
Draws
35%
CD AS Pontes
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: CD AS Pontes at 1 per game, Pontellas at 0.77.
  • Model gives CD AS Pontes a 35% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Pontellas Clean Sheet 17%
CD AS Pontes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pontellas CD AS Pontes
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 4
Draws 6 10
Losses 20 16
Goals Scored 0.77 1
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD AS Pontes vs Pontellas
1:1
Apr 25, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Pontellas vs CD AS Pontes
2:1
Feb 16, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD AS Pontes vs Pontellas
7:0
Sep 22, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Pontellas vs CD AS Pontes
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pontellas 28 / 100
CD AS Pontes 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pontellas CD AS Pontes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD AS Pontes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD AS Pontes has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Pontellas went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Pontellas scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pontellas VS CD AS Pontes
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pontellas

(Home)
19 Jun
Viveiro
1 : 1
Pontellas
13 Jun
Pontellas
1 : 2
Agrupacion Estudiantil
06 Jun
CD AS Pontes
1 : 1
Pontellas
30 May
Pontellas
2 : 1
Fisterra
23 May
Paiosaco
2 : 1
Pontellas
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CD AS Pontes

(Away)
20 Jun
CD AS Pontes
1 : 1
UD Ourense
13 Jun
Atios
0 : 4
CD AS Pontes
06 Jun
CD AS Pontes
1 : 1
Pontellas
30 May
Barco
3 : 2
CD AS Pontes
23 May
CD AS Pontes
1 : 1
Ourense CF
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