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Pontellas vs Ourense CF

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Pontellas
20%
Draws
51%
Ourense CF
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ourense CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Pontellas haven't matched Ourense CF's recent run of results.
  • Pontellas are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Pontellas Clean Sheet 20%
Ourense CF Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pontellas Ourense CF
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 4 13
Draws 6 7
Losses 20 16
Goals Scored 0.77 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Pontellas vs Ourense CF
0:0
Dec 13, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Ourense CF vs Pontellas
3:1
Apr 5, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Pontellas vs Ourense CF
0:0
Nov 17, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Ourense CF vs Pontellas
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pontellas 36 / 100
Ourense CF 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pontellas Ourense CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ourense CF has conceded goals in 72% of their last 36 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Pontellas remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Pontellas's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ourense CF
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pontellas

(Home)
19 Jun
Viveiro
1 : 1
Pontellas
13 Jun
Pontellas
1 : 2
Agrupacion Estudiantil
06 Jun
CD AS Pontes
1 : 1
Pontellas
30 May
Pontellas
2 : 1
Fisterra
23 May
Paiosaco
2 : 1
Pontellas
Page 1 of 6

Ourense CF

(Away)
26 Sept
Amorebieta
0 : 1
Ourense CF
19 Sept
Ourense CF
0 : 2
Eibar B
13 Sept
Marino De Luanco
0 : 2
Ourense CF
06 Sept
Ourense CF
2 : 1
Basconia
29 Aug
Compostela
4 : 2
Ourense CF
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergantinos 22 14 6 2 37:16 48
2 Lugo B 22 12 6 4 34:17 42
3 Somozas 22 12 5 5 41:21 41
4 Racing Club Villalbes 22 12 4 6 34:26 40
5 Deportivo Fabril 22 9 5 8 41:27 32
6 Silva SD 22 7 9 6 21:20 30
7 Arzua 22 7 8 7 32:23 29
8 Viveiro 22 8 4 10 25:39 28
9 Agrupacion Estudiantil 22 4 8 10 27:45 20
10 CD AS Pontes 22 4 7 11 18:40 19
11 Fisterra 22 4 5 13 22:35 17
12 Paiosaco 22 1 9 12 16:39 12
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arenteiro 22 13 8 1 33:13 47
2 Arosa SC 22 11 8 3 27:14 41
3 Alondras 22 9 10 3 31:15 37
4 Estradense 22 8 7 7 35:34 31
5 CD Choco 22 8 7 7 28:22 31
6 Rapido de Bouzas 22 8 7 7 25:25 31
7 Barco 22 8 6 8 26:27 30
8 Ourense CF 22 8 4 10 33:29 28
9 Ribadumia 22 7 5 10 24:36 26
10 UD Ourense 22 7 4 11 25:32 25
11 Atios 22 4 8 10 18:32 20
12 Pontellas 22 1 6 15 12:38 9
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)