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Pontet vs Colomiers

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CFA - Group D 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The CFA - Group D 2016/2017 game between Pontet and Colomiers finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Colomiers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Pontet
15%
Draws
49%
Colomiers
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Colomiers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Colomiers come out ahead of Pontet on wins alone.
  • Model gives Pontet a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular CFA - Group D 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Pontet Clean Sheet 20%
Colomiers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pontet Colomiers
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 5 10
Draws 9 9
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 0.83 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2017 National 2 - Group D
Pontet vs Colomiers
1:2
Aug 27, 2016 National 2 - Group D
Colomiers vs Pontet
3:0
May 28, 2016 National 1 - Group C
Pontet vs Colomiers
2:0
Jan 9, 2016 National 1 - Group C
Colomiers vs Pontet
0:0
Mar 2, 2013 National 1 - Group C
Colomiers vs Pontet
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pontet 36 / 100
Colomiers 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pontet Colomiers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pontet scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Colomiers has conceded goals in 78% of their last 36 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Colomiers lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Colomiers
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pontet

(Home)
20 May
Pontet
2 : 4
Marignane GCB
13 May
Montpellier II
2 : 1
Pontet
29 Apr
Pontet
0 : 2
Frejus Saint Raphael
22 Apr
Pontet
2 : 0
Stade Montois
15 Apr
Rodez
1 : 0
Pontet
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Colomiers

(Away)
16 Nov
SA Merignac
1 : 0
Colomiers
16 Nov
Colomiers
2 : 3
Vierzon Foot
07 Aug
Bergerac
1 : 1
Colomiers
19 Nov
Colomiers
0 : 1
Pau
30 Oct
Agde
2 : 3
Colomiers
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rodez 30 18 7 5 43:27 61
2 Stade Montois 30 14 9 7 46:28 51
3 Frejus Saint Raphael 30 15 6 9 46:31 51
4 Toulon 30 12 8 10 42:33 44
5 Colomiers 30 11 10 9 35:37 43
6 Hyeres 30 10 13 7 32:22 43
7 Monaco II 30 12 6 12 54:48 42
8 Marignane GCB 30 10 10 10 47:45 40
9 Tarbes 30 9 12 9 32:32 39
10 Marseille II 30 10 8 12 30:32 38
11 Martigues 30 10 8 12 33:40 38
12 Nice II 30 8 11 11 37:50 35
13 Sete 30 8 11 11 26:28 35
14 Pezenas 30 8 9 13 34:45 33
15 Montpellier II 30 8 7 15 26:45 31
16 Pontet 30 5 9 16 25:45 24
Promotion - National 2017/2018 (Main)