Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pontet vs Frejus Saint Raphael

France France

CFA - Group D 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Frejus Saint Raphael in this CFA - Group D 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Frejus Saint Raphael.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Pontet
15%
Draws
57%
Frejus Saint Raphael
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Frejus Saint Raphael

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Frejus Saint Raphael lately — more wins on the board than Pontet.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Frejus Saint Raphael here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Pontet Clean Sheet 20%
Frejus Saint Raphael Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pontet Frejus Saint Raphael
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 10
Draws 9 7
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 0.83 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2017 National 2 - Group D
Pontet vs Frejus Saint Raphael
0:2
Dec 17, 2016 National 2 - Group D
Frejus Saint Raphael vs Pontet
3:2
Apr 7, 2007 National 1 - Group B
Frejus Saint Raphael vs Pontet
2:0
Oct 28, 2006 National 1 - Group B
Pontet vs Frejus Saint Raphael
1:2
Mar 11, 2006 National 1 - Group B
Frejus Saint Raphael vs Pontet
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pontet 36 / 100
Frejus Saint Raphael 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pontet Frejus Saint Raphael

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Frejus Saint Raphael Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pontet found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Frejus Saint Raphael has conceded goals in 78% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Frejus Saint Raphael lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Frejus Saint Raphael
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pontet

(Home)
20 May
Pontet
2 : 4
Marignane GCB
13 May
Montpellier II
2 : 1
Pontet
29 Apr
Pontet
0 : 2
Frejus Saint Raphael
22 Apr
Pontet
2 : 0
Stade Montois
15 Apr
Rodez
1 : 0
Pontet
Page 1 of 6

Frejus Saint Raphael

(Away)
19 Sept
Frejus Saint Raphael
2 : 4
GOAL FC
12 Sept
Toulon
3 : 1
Frejus Saint Raphael
05 Sept
Frejus Saint Raphael
2 : 0
Andrezieux
29 Aug
Nimes
3 : 0
Frejus Saint Raphael
22 Aug
Frejus Saint Raphael
3 : 0
Saint Priest
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rodez 30 18 7 5 43:27 61
2 Stade Montois 30 14 9 7 46:28 51
3 Frejus Saint Raphael 30 15 6 9 46:31 51
4 Toulon 30 12 8 10 42:33 44
5 Colomiers 30 11 10 9 35:37 43
6 Hyeres 30 10 13 7 32:22 43
7 Monaco II 30 12 6 12 54:48 42
8 Marignane GCB 30 10 10 10 47:45 40
9 Tarbes 30 9 12 9 32:32 39
10 Marseille II 30 10 8 12 30:32 38
11 Martigues 30 10 8 12 33:40 38
12 Nice II 30 8 11 11 37:50 35
13 Sete 30 8 11 11 26:28 35
14 Pezenas 30 8 9 13 34:45 33
15 Montpellier II 30 8 7 15 26:45 31
16 Pontet 30 5 9 16 25:45 24
Promotion - National 2017/2018 (Main)