Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pontevedra vs Ath Bilbao B

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 Estadio Municipal de Pasarón, Pontevedra
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Cuesta M.
45' Event
Resende J.
46'
Sub
Barandalla M. In: Louis-Jean J.
Out: Barandalla M.

AI Match Summary

The Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Pontevedra and Ath Bilbao B finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pontevedra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Pontevedra
17%
Draws
13%
Ath Bilbao B
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Pontevedra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Ath Bilbao B have managed 0.75 goals a game lately — Pontevedra are scoring more at 1.75.
  • Win probability leans Pontevedra's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Pontevedra Clean Sheet 68%
Ath Bilbao B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pontevedra Ath Bilbao B
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 12 7
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.75 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Pontevedra vs Ath Bilbao B
4:0
Sep 20, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Ath Bilbao B vs Pontevedra
1:0
Mar 7, 2010 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Pontevedra vs Ath Bilbao B
0:0
Oct 17, 2009 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Ath Bilbao B vs Pontevedra
2:3
Mar 21, 2009 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Ath Bilbao B vs Pontevedra
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pontevedra Compare

Top Goalscorer Cuesta M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Resende J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Ath Bilbao B Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pontevedra 77 / 100
Ath Bilbao B 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pontevedra Ath Bilbao B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Pontevedra scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Ath Bilbao B has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Pontevedra stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pontevedra VS Ath Bilbao B
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pontevedra

(Home)
29 Jul
Pontevedra
2 : 1
Deportivo Fabril
23 May
Pontevedra
2 : 2
Real Aviles
17 May
Tenerife
3 : 0
Pontevedra
09 May
Pontevedra
4 : 0
Ath Bilbao B
02 May
Racing Club Ferrol
0 : 0
Pontevedra
Page 1 of 6

Ath Bilbao B

(Away)
29 Jul
Sestao
0 : 1
Ath Bilbao B
25 Jul
Burgos CF
1 : 1
Ath Bilbao B
23 May
Ponferradina
1 : 0
Ath Bilbao B
17 May
Ath Bilbao B
2 : 1
Guadalajara
09 May
Pontevedra
4 : 0
Ath Bilbao B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tenerife382210662:2476
2Celta Vigo B381811961:4865
3Zamora3817101153:4261
4Ponferradina381791243:3360
5Real Madrid B3816101261:5258
6Pontevedra381416849:3158
7Barakaldo3815131051:3858
8Unionistas de Salamanca3815111253:4956
9Lugo3813141136:4053
10AD Merida3814101447:5352
11Arenas Getxo381571646:5552
12Racing Club Ferrol3813101541:4749
13Ath Bilbao B3813101538:4649
14Real Aviles3811111655:6744
15Cacereno3810141442:4944
16CF Talavera3811101738:4743
17Ourense CF3810131544:4743
18Guadalajara3810111744:5841
19Osasuna B3810101828:4240
20Arenteiro386102229:5328
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)