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Pontevedra vs Ourense CF Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Mba D.
10' Event
Gonzalez V.
75' Event
Iglesias F.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Pontevedra and Ourense CF finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pontevedra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Pontevedra
30%
Draws
47%
Ourense CF
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ourense CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pontevedra come out ahead of Ourense CF on wins alone.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Pontevedra Clean Sheet 19%
Ourense CF Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pontevedra Ourense CF
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 11 7
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.45 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Club Friendly
Pontevedra vs Ourense CF
2:1
Mar 21, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Pontevedra vs Ourense CF
0:0
Sep 27, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Ourense CF vs Pontevedra
1:2
Apr 21, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Pontevedra vs Ourense CF
0:2
Dec 9, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Ourense CF vs Pontevedra
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pontevedra Compare

Top Goalscorer Mba D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Iglesias F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Ourense CF Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pontevedra 36 / 100
Ourense CF 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pontevedra Ourense CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ourense CF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pontevedra found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Ourense CF let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Pontevedra remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pontevedra VS Ourense CF
2.13 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pontevedra

(Home)
03 Oct
Racing Club Ferrol
2 : 0
Pontevedra
27 Sept
Pontevedra
1 : 1
Ponferradina
18 Sept
UD Logrones
1 : 1
Pontevedra
12 Sept
Pontevedra
1 : 3
Ath Bilbao B
05 Sept
Pontevedra
4 : 1
Arenas Getxo
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Ourense CF

(Away)
04 Oct
Ourense CF
0 : 0
Arosa SC
26 Sept
Amorebieta
0 : 1
Ourense CF
19 Sept
Ourense CF
0 : 2
Eibar B
13 Sept
Marino De Luanco
0 : 2
Ourense CF
06 Sept
Ourense CF
2 : 1
Basconia
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