Sport Picks
Pontevedra vs UD Ourense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Primera RFEF - Group 1 Estadio Municipal de Pasarón, Pontevedra 
AI Match Summary
Pontevedra host UD Ourense in the Primera RFEF - Group 1. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. UD Ourense have shipped 1.29 goals a game lately, while Pontevedra have conceded 1.1 and scored 1.38. Head-to-head, Pontevedra have won 1 to UD Ourense's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Oct 29, 2025, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 0.94, favoring Pontevedra. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Under 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and UD Ourense come out ahead of Pontevedra on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Pontevedra's way, sitting at 60%.
- Regular Primera RFEF - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pontevedra | UD Ourense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 11 | 12 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pontevedra found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).
UD Ourense let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.
Games between these two average 1.50 goals.
Recent resilience: Pontevedra stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Pontevedra
(Home)UD Ourense
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lugo | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 18:9 | 25 |
| 2 | UD Logrones | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 20:13 | 20 |
| 3 | Mirandes | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 4 | Racing Club Ferrol | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 9:7 | 17 |
| 5 | CD Extremadura | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:10 | 16 |
| 6 | Ath Bilbao B | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17:13 | 15 |
| 7 | Pontevedra | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:11 | 15 |
| 8 | Cacereno | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 9:8 | 15 |
| 9 | Real Aviles | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 18:13 | 14 |
| 10 | Ponferradina | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 6:6 | 14 |
| 11 | Real Union | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 19:17 | 13 |
| 12 | AD Merida | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 16:14 | 13 |
| 13 | Leonesa | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 14 | Zamora | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:12 | 12 |
| 15 | Barakaldo | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 8:10 | 11 |
| 16 | Deportivo Fabril | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:17 | 11 |
| 17 | Unionistas de Salamanca | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 12:18 | 10 |
| 18 | CD Coria | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12:17 | 9 |
| 19 | UD Ourense | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4:15 | 8 |
| 20 | Arenas Getxo | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8:22 | 8 |
