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Pontivy vs Concarneau

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CFA - Group D 2014/2015
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AI Match Summary

The CFA - Group D 2014/2015 game between Pontivy and Concarneau finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Pontivy
20%
Draws
47%
Concarneau
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Concarneau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Pontivy carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Pontivy Clean Sheet 18%
Concarneau Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pontivy Concarneau
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 11 9
Draws 7 13
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.28 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 0.96 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Club Friendly
Concarneau vs Pontivy
5:1
May 16, 2015 National 2 - Group D
Pontivy vs Concarneau
0:0
Jan 10, 2015 National 2 - Group D
Concarneau vs Pontivy
1:2
May 24, 2014 National 2 - Group D
Pontivy vs Concarneau
2:2
Aug 24, 2013 National 2 - Group D
Concarneau vs Pontivy
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pontivy 32 / 100
Concarneau 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pontivy Concarneau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Concarneau Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Pontivy scored in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Concarneau has conceded goals in 63% of their last 32 outings.

Solid form: Pontivy remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pontivy VS Concarneau
0.67 Goals Scored 0.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
67% Over 1.5 63%
33% Over 2.5 50%
33% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pontivy

(Home)
22 Aug
Saint-Malo
1 : 1
Pontivy
31 Jul
Concarneau
5 : 1
Pontivy
20 Dec
Pontivy
0 : 1
Bastia
29 Nov
Espoir
0 : 4
Pontivy
15 Nov
Challans
0 : 2
Pontivy
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Concarneau

(Away)
20 Aug
Concarneau
2 : 0
Villefranche
14 Aug
Quevilly
1 : 1
Concarneau
07 Aug
Concarneau
0 : 2
Orleans
31 Jul
Concarneau
5 : 1
Pontivy
25 Jul
Laval
1 : 2
Concarneau
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lorient II 30 15 11 4 44:29 86
2 Les Herbiers 30 17 5 8 50:26 86
3 Stade Bordelais 30 15 7 8 39:32 82
4 Concarneau 30 13 10 7 46:32 79
5 Trelissac 30 14 7 9 46:34 79
6 Pau 30 11 12 7 49:36 75
7 Vitre 30 13 6 11 45:48 75
8 Nantes II 30 11 9 10 42:42 72
9 Stade Montois 30 10 7 13 34:40 67
10 Bordeaux II 30 10 7 13 47:48 67
11 Plabennec 30 9 8 13 29:41 65
12 Tarbes 30 8 10 12 32:40 64
13 Saint-Malo 30 8 10 12 39:46 64
14 Fontenay 30 7 12 11 33:40 63
15 Pontivy 30 5 10 15 23:40 55
16 Limoges 30 4 9 17 33:57 50
Promotion - National 2015/2016 (Main)