Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pontivy vs Lorient II

France France

National 1 - Group B
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Haribou S.
14' Event
Semedo D.
63' Event
Haribou S.

AI Match Summary

Lorient II in this National 1 - Group B matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lorient II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Pontivy
30%
Draws
47%
Lorient II
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lorient II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Lorient II average 1.34 goals a game right now, well clear of Pontivy's 1.19.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Lorient II taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Pontivy Clean Sheet 11%
Lorient II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pontivy Lorient II
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 7 4
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.19 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.37 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 National 1 - Group B
Pontivy vs Lorient II
0:3
Jan 24, 2015 National 2 - Group D
Pontivy vs Lorient II
1:1
Aug 23, 2014 National 2 - Group D
Lorient II vs Pontivy
2:0
Feb 16, 2013 National 2 - Group D
Pontivy vs Lorient II
2:0
Sep 1, 2012 National 2 - Group D
Lorient II vs Pontivy
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pontivy Compare

Avg xG / game 1.05
Avg xA / game 0.69

Lorient II Compare

Top Goalscorer Haribou S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Semedo D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pontivy 10 / 100
Lorient II 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pontivy Lorient II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lorient II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lorient II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Pontivy scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Pontivy went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pontivy VS Lorient II
0.86 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
86% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 63%
29% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Pontivy

(Home)
19 Sept
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
2 : 2
Pontivy
12 Sept
Pontivy
0 : 3
Lorient II
05 Sept
Saumur Olympique
2 : 1
Pontivy
29 Aug
Pontivy
1 : 1
Granville
22 Aug
Saint-Malo
1 : 1
Pontivy
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Lorient II

(Away)
19 Sept
Lorient II
1 : 2
Le Poire Sur Vie
12 Sept
Pontivy
0 : 3
Lorient II
05 Sept
Lorient II
0 : 1
Bayonne
29 Aug
Tarbes
1 : 0
Lorient II
22 Aug
Lorient II
3 : 1
Chauray
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayonne 5 4 1 0 9:4 13
2 Angouleme CFC 5 3 2 0 9:4 11
3 Dinan 5 3 1 1 5:3 10
4 Stade Briochin 5 2 3 0 7:3 9
5 Granville 5 2 2 1 7:7 8
6 Avranches 5 2 2 1 6:3 8
7 Tarbes 5 2 2 1 3:2 8
8 Saint-Malo 5 2 2 1 6:2 8
9 Le Poire Sur Vie 5 2 0 3 5:8 6
10 Lorient II 5 2 0 3 7:5 6
11 St. Colomban Locmine 5 1 2 2 2:3 5
12 Les Herbiers 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
13 Saumur Olympique 5 1 1 3 3:8 4
14 Pontivy 5 0 3 2 5:9 3
15 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 5 0 3 2 3:7 3
16 Chauray 5 0 1 4 3:9 1
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)