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Pontivy vs Rouen

France France

Coupe de France 2023/2024
Pontivy Logo

Pontivy

0 - 1
FT
Rouen Logo

Rouen

Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Bassin C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Rouen advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Pontivy
15%
Draws
53%
Rouen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rouen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Pontivy carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Pontivy have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Rouen, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Pontivy Clean Sheet 10%
Rouen Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pontivy Rouen
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 6 13
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1.31 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.53 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 9, 2023 Coupe de France
Pontivy vs Rouen
0:1
May 2, 2009 National 2 - Group D
Rouen vs Pontivy
1:0
Dec 6, 2008 National 2 - Group D
Pontivy vs Rouen
1:1
May 12, 2007 National 2 - Group D
Rouen vs Pontivy
4:2
Dec 23, 2006 National 2 - Group D
Pontivy vs Rouen
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pontivy Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Rouen Compare

Top Goalscorer Bassin C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pontivy 30 / 100
Rouen 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pontivy Rouen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pontivy scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Rouen let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Pontivy stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pontivy VS Rouen
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pontivy

(Home)
31 Jul
Concarneau
5 : 1
Pontivy
20 Dec
Pontivy
0 : 1
Bastia
29 Nov
Espoir
0 : 4
Pontivy
15 Nov
Challans
0 : 2
Pontivy
09 Dec
Pontivy
0 : 1
Rouen
Page 1 of 7

Rouen

(Away)
14 Aug
Orleans
1 : 2
Rouen
07 Aug
Rouen
0 : 0
Cannes
28 Jul
Rouen
1 : 0
Al Wakra
25 Jul
Boulogne
0 : 1
Rouen
24 May
Laval
1 : 0
Rouen
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Montlouis 0
Bergerac 4
Morlaas Est-Bearn 0
Panazol 1
Jeunesse Villenavaise 1
JA Isle 0
Aizenay 1
Libourne 2
Sarre Union 1
APM Metz 0
Colmar 0
Pontarlier 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lyon -
Bleriot Plage 1
ASPTT Dijon 0
Camon 2
Chambly 5
Villers Houlgate 4
Equeurd Hainnev 0
Laon US 1
Racing Club de France 2
Lille -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Samaritaine 0
Golden Lion 1
Le Quesnoy 1
Troyenne 4
Metz -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Clermont -
US Noeux Les Mines 2
Avoine 3
Le Geldar 3
Agouado 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Strasbourg -
Stade Briochin 4
Concarneau 3
Les Herbiers 2
Avranches 1
Douvres 2
Choisy Au Bac 1
Chateauroux 2
Red Star 1
Le Havre -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RC Calais 2
Longueau 1
Loon Plage 0
Caen 3
Macon 1
Louhans Cuiseaux 2
Cosne US 1
Chantilly 0
Pontivy 2
Plougastel 0
Stade Pontivyen 1
Rouen 2
Chambery 1
De Volvic 0
Villefranche 1
Grenoble 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Toulouse -
Paimpol 2
Flers 1
Plabennec 1
Challans 2
Stade Mayennais 1
Aunis Avenir 0
Liffre 0
Rodez 3
Lens -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monaco -
Hauts Lyonnais 2
Neuville 0
Feurs 2
Espaly 1
Roche Saint-Genest 1
Saint Priest 2
Limonest 0
Domerat 1
Stade Poitevin 0
US Castanet 3
Auch 0
Romorantin 4
Moulien 3
Baie Mahault 1
Torcy 0
Fleury-Merogis 1
Jarville 2
Sarreguemines 4
Villerupt Thil 0
Biesheim 2
Mulhouse 2
Jura Dolois 1
Haguenau 0
Valenciennes 2
Velay 1
Martigues 3
Ales 6
Rosador 1
Villejuif 2
Paris FC 3
Tamponnaise 2
Saint-Denis 3
Toulouse Metropole 1
AC Ajaccio 4
Lavernose Lherm 0
Orleans 4
Bourg Peronnas 0
St Etienne 3
Roannais 1
Nimes 3
Guerande St. Aubin 0
US Revel 3
Blagnac 1
Bayonne 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PSG -
AS-Fabregues 3
Valincu 2
Cannes 2
Bourgoin Jallieu 1
Bassin d'Arcachon 2
Saumur Olympique 1
Etoile Maritime 2
Trelissac 3
Brest -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Plessis Robinson 2
Brissac 1
Houilles 0
Angers 2
Itancourt Neuville 3
IC Croix 2
FC Bondues 0
Feignies-Aulnoye 1
Montdidier 0
Quevilly 4
Doullens 0
Dijon 6
Schweighouse 2
Thaon 3
Hombourg-Haut 0
Amiens SC 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Montpellier -
St. Michel 0
Sannois 2
Noisy Le Sec 0
Furiani Agliani 2
Vierzon Foot 0
Angouleme CFC 1
Canet Roussillon 1
Bordeaux 2
Nice -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Saint-Meziery 1
Pirae 0
USLPV 0
Auxerre 1
Lyon - La Duchere 4
Bastia 1
Thonon-Evian 3
Aubagne FC 2
Chaponnay-Marennes 1
Hyeres 0
Le Puy-en-Velay 2
FC Seyssins 0
Saint-Omer 2
Saint Denis U.S. 1
Epinal 2
Troyes 1
Reims Ste Anne 2
Boulogne 1
Football Club de Chaumont 0
Dunkerque 1
Coulaines 2
Cholet 1
Chauray 0
Pau 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nantes -
SU Dives 2
Dieppe 3
Ergue-Gaberic 3
St. Renan 1
Saint-Philbert 2
Le Poire Sur Vie 0
Provin 0
Laval 5
Forbach 0
Geispolsheim 1
Sochaux 2
Jura Sud 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lorient -
Dinan 3
TA Rennes 1
Chateaugiron 0
Vitre 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Reims -
Caennaise 2
Fougeres 1
Saint-Malo 2
Guingamp 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rennes -
Hienghene Sport 0
Thionville 4
Fosseenne 1
Annecy 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marseille -
1/64-finals
Bergerac 4
Panazol 2
Jeunesse Villenavaise 2
Libourne 4
Sarre Union 0
Pontarlier 1
TBD -
Lyon -
Bleriot Plage 0
Chambly 3
Villers Houlgate 1
Racing Club de France 3
Lille -
TBD -
Golden Lion 3
Troyenne 2
Metz -
TBD -
TBD -
Clermont -
Avoine 4
Le Geldar 1
TBD -
Strasbourg -
Stade Briochin 1
Les Herbiers 2
Douvres 1
Chateauroux 5
Le Havre -
TBD -
RC Calais 1
Caen 4
Louhans Cuiseaux 3
Cosne US 2
Pontivy 0
Rouen 1
Chambery 2
Grenoble 1
TBD -
Toulouse -
Paimpol 1
Challans 2
Stade Mayennais 0
Rodez 9
Lens -
TBD -
TBD -
Monaco -
Hauts Lyonnais 0
Feurs 3
Saint Priest 3
Domerat 0
US Castanet 0
Romorantin 3
Moulien 2
Fleury-Merogis 1
Sarreguemines 3
Biesheim 0
Mulhouse 1
Valenciennes 2
Martigues 1
Ales 2
Paris FC 3
Saint-Denis 1
AC Ajaccio 1
Orleans 2
St Etienne 0
Nimes 1
US Revel 2
Blagnac 1
TBD -
PSG -
AS-Fabregues 3
Cannes 2
Bassin d'Arcachon 0
Trelissac 2
Brest -
TBD -
Plessis Robinson 1
Angers 2
Itancourt Neuville 2
Feignies-Aulnoye 3
Quevilly 3
Dijon 1
Thaon 0
Amiens SC 1
TBD -
Montpellier -
Sannois 1
Furiani Agliani 0
Angouleme CFC 0
Bordeaux 1
Nice -
TBD -
Saint-Meziery 1
Auxerre 4
Lyon - La Duchere 2
Thonon-Evian 1
Chaponnay-Marennes 0
Le Puy-en-Velay 3
Saint-Omer 2
Epinal 1
Reims Ste Anne -
Dunkerque -
Coulaines 1
Pau 5
TBD -
Nantes -
Dieppe 2
Ergue-Gaberic 0
Saint-Philbert 1
Laval 2
Geispolsheim 0
Sochaux 4
TBD -
Lorient -
Dinan 2
Vitre 0
TBD -
Reims -
Caennaise 0
Guingamp 1
TBD -
Rennes -
Thionville 2
Annecy 1
TBD -
Marseille -
1/32-finals
Bergerac 2
Libourne 1
Pontarlier 0
Lyon 3
Chambly 1
Racing Club de France 2
Lille 12
Golden Lion 0
Metz 1
Clermont 2
Avoine 0
Strasbourg 4
Les Herbiers 2
Chateauroux 3
Le Havre 2
Caen 1
Louhans Cuiseaux 0
Rouen 2
Chambery 0
Toulouse 3
Challans 0
Rodez 4
Lens 2
Monaco 3
Feurs 3
Saint Priest 5
Romorantin 4
Moulien 0
Sarreguemines 0
Valenciennes 2
Ales 1
Paris FC 2
Orleans 2
Nimes 1
US Revel 0
PSG 9
AS-Fabregues 1
Trelissac 4
Brest 1
Angers 0
Feignies-Aulnoye 1
Quevilly 0
Amiens SC 1
Montpellier 2
Sannois 1
Bordeaux 2
Nice 1
Auxerre 0
Lyon - La Duchere 1
Le Puy-en-Velay 2
Saint-Omer 2
Dunkerque 3
Pau 1
Nantes 4
Dieppe 0
Laval 4
Sochaux 2
Lorient 1
Dinan 0
Reims 3
Guingamp 0
Rennes 2
Thionville 0
Marseille 1
1/16-finals
Bergerac 1
Lyon 2
Racing Club de France 0
Lille 1
Clermont 1
Strasbourg 3
Chateauroux 0
Le Havre 1
Rouen 4
Toulouse 3
Rodez 1
Monaco 3
Saint Priest 4
Romorantin 1
Valenciennes 2
Paris FC 1
Orleans 1
PSG 4
Trelissac 1
Brest 2
Feignies-Aulnoye 0
Montpellier 4
Bordeaux 2
Nice 3
Le Puy-en-Velay 2
Dunkerque 1
Nantes 0
Laval 1
Sochaux 3
Reims 2
Rennes 2
Marseille 1
1/8-finals
Lyon 2
Lille 1
Strasbourg 3
Le Havre 1
Rouen 2
Monaco 1
Saint Priest 1
Valenciennes 2
PSG 3
Brest 1
Montpellier 1
Nice 4
Le Puy-en-Velay 2
Laval 1
Sochaux 1
Rennes 6
Quarter-finals
Lyon 1
Strasbourg 0
Rouen 1
Valenciennes 2
PSG 3
Nice 1
Le Puy-en-Velay 1
Rennes 3
Semi-finals
Lyon 3
Valenciennes 0
PSG 1
Rennes 0
Final
Lyon 1
PSG 2