Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pontivy vs Saint-Louisienne

France France

Coupe de France 2014/2015
Sun, Nov 16, 2014
2 - 3
01:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
60' Event
66' Event

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with Saint-Louisienne advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Pontivy
20%
Draws
36%
Saint-Louisienne
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pontivy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Pontivy carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Pontivy are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Pontivy have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Saint-Louisienne, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 55%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 20%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Pontivy Clean Sheet 68%
Saint-Louisienne Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pontivy Saint-Louisienne
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 6 14
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.19 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.55 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 16, 2014 Coupe de France
Pontivy vs Saint-Louisienne
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pontivy 86 / 100
Saint-Louisienne 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pontivy Saint-Louisienne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pontivy Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Pontivy scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Saint-Louisienne's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Pontivy stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pontivy VS Saint-Louisienne
1.4 Goals Scored 0.63
1.2 Goals Conceded 0.75
60% Over 1.5 50%
40% Over 2.5 13%
40% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pontivy

(Home)
31 Jul
Concarneau
5 : 1
Pontivy
20 Dec
Pontivy
0 : 1
Bastia
29 Nov
Espoir
0 : 4
Pontivy
15 Nov
Challans
0 : 2
Pontivy
09 Dec
Pontivy
0 : 1
Rouen
Page 1 of 7

Saint-Louisienne

(Away)
23 Nov
Excelsior
4 : 0
Saint-Louisienne
09 Nov
Saint-Louisienne
1 : 1
Dominicaine
02 Nov
Saint Louis
0 : 0
Saint-Louisienne
19 Oct
Saint-Louisienne
2 : 0
Piton Saint-Leu
11 Oct
Jeanne d'Arc
3 : 0
Saint-Louisienne
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Auxerre 3
Dinsheim 0
Le Moule 1
Sarreguemines 2
Sochaux 5
Limonest 2
St Etienne Seltz 0
Strasbourg 4
St. Louis Neuweg 2
Mulhouse 1
Colmar 0
Louhans Cuiseaux 1
GOAL FC 4
Clemenceau 2
Vaulx 0
Jura Sud 2
Bressuire 2
Vertou 1
FC Petit-Bard Montpellier 0
Istres 1
Meaux 3
Marck 0
Bethune 1
Amiens SC 2
Plabennec 4
Ginglin Cesson 1
Bellevue Nantes 1
F.C. Guichen 2
Plouvorn 2
Bonchamp 1
Stade Pontivyen 1
Le Poire Sur Vie 3
Metz -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Clermont 3
Albi-Marssac 0
Pontarlier 0
Epinal 1
Lorient -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
US Matoury 2
CMS Oissel 1
Zouasia 1
Avranches 6
Cholet 2
Aiglon Lamentin 0
La Rochelle 2
Aurillac 4
Amiens AC 3
St Ouen 0
Dizier 1
Beauvais 2
Laval 7
Saint-Berthevin 0
Eglantine Vierzon 0
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 2
Paris FC 1
Fontenay 0
Graces 0
Brest 5
Concarneau 2
Excelsior 0
AS Plobannalec Lesconil 1
Vitre 3
Genets 1
Balma 0
Chauvigny 1
Niort 2
Caen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
MOS/3 Rivieres 2
Gravona 1
Vichy 0
Dijon 9
Andrezieux 1
CO Avallon 0
Agde 0
Avenir Lozere 2
Frejus Saint Raphael 3
Bourgoin Jallieu 1
FC Chalon 0
Saint Priest 1
Saint-Omer 3
Saint Lo Manche 1
Herouville 0
Loon Plage 2
Ailly sur Somme FC 3
Lillebonne 2
Cambrai 1
IC Croix 3
Moulins-Yzeure 3
Chauray 2
Girancourt Dommartin 1
Illkirch 2
Sedan 3
Champigny FC 2
Morhange 0
A.S. Pagny 3
Nice -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lille Sud 1
Aubervilliers 0
Maubeuge 1
Valenciennes 3
Chateauroux 6
Meymac 0
Semeac 0
Tarbes 1
Trelissac 3
Magenta 0
Brive 0
Lucon 5
Dinan 2
Saint-Malo 1
Argentre 0
Angers 10
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Guingamp -
PSG -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Montpellier -
Toulouse -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bordeaux -
Lyon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lens -
Franciscain 2
Sainte-Genevieve 0
Libourne 1
Lormont 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nantes -
Rennes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arras 2
GFC Ajaccio 0
Clermontois 1
Dunkerque 6
St. Maur Lusitanos 4
Creteil 3
Vierzon Foot 1
Moulins 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Reims -
Thonon-Evian -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Noisy Le Sec 2
Tefana 1
Saint-Mihiel 0
FC Bobigny 93 4
Nimes 2
Auch 0
Echirolles FC 1
Marseille Endoume 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monaco -
Boulogne 4
Calais 1
Trouville Deauville 1
Le Havre 3
Fleury-Merogis 1
Riviere de Corps 0
Saverne 1
Sarre Union 4
Marseille -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pezenas 1
Rodeo 0
Saint-Marcellin 0
Grenoble 1
Bastia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lille -
Orleans 2
Gonfreville 1
Villerupt Thil 1
Laon US 4
Saint-Louisienne 3
Pontivy 2
Siroco les Abymes 0
Quevilly 2
Red Star 2
US Noeux Les Mines 1
Reims Ste Anne 0
Forbach 1
Lyon - La Duchere 4
Ain Sud Foot 3
Aix 0
Arles-Avignon 4
AC Ajaccio 1
Ales 0
FC Rhone Vallees 1
Borgo FC (Inactive) 2
Martigues 3
Macouria 0
Le Puy-en-Velay 1
Athletico Marseille 3
Tours 2
Saran 0
TBD -
Stade Bordelais -
Fougeres 2
Carquefou 1
Blois Foot 41 0
Le Mans 1
Nancy 3
Montceau 0
Chambly 1
Troyes 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St Etienne -
1/64-finals
Auxerre 4
Sarreguemines 0
Sochaux 0
Strasbourg 1
St. Louis Neuweg 2
Louhans Cuiseaux 1
GOAL FC 1
Jura Sud 3
Bressuire 2
Istres 1
Meaux 1
Amiens SC 3
Plabennec 1
F.C. Guichen 0
Plouvorn 1
Le Poire Sur Vie 2
Metz -
TBD -
Clermont 1
Epinal 2
Lorient -
TBD -
US Matoury 0
Avranches 1
Cholet 3
Aurillac 0
Amiens AC 0
Beauvais 1
Laval 2
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 1
Paris FC 0
Brest 1
Concarneau 3
Vitre 2
Genets 0
Niort 2
Caen -
TBD -
MOS/3 Rivieres 1
Dijon 6
Andrezieux 2
Avenir Lozere 0
Frejus Saint Raphael 0
Saint Priest 1
Saint-Omer 1
Loon Plage 0
Ailly sur Somme FC 0
IC Croix 2
Moulins-Yzeure 4
Illkirch 1
Sedan 1
A.S. Pagny 2
Nice -
TBD -
Lille Sud 0
Valenciennes 1
Chateauroux 1
Tarbes 0
Trelissac 0
Lucon 1
Dinan 2
Angers 1
TBD -
Guingamp -
PSG -
TBD -
TBD -
Montpellier -
Toulouse -
TBD -
TBD -
Bordeaux -
Lyon -
TBD -
TBD -
Lens -
Franciscain 2
Lormont 0
TBD -
Nantes -
Rennes -
TBD -
Arras 2
Dunkerque 4
St. Maur Lusitanos 3
Moulins 1
TBD -
Reims -
Thonon-Evian -
TBD -
Noisy Le Sec 0
FC Bobigny 93 1
Nimes 2
Marseille Endoume 1
TBD -
Monaco -
Boulogne 2
Le Havre 0
Fleury-Merogis 0
Sarre Union 1
Marseille -
TBD -
Pezenas 1
Grenoble 2
Bastia -
TBD -
TBD -
Lille -
Orleans 7
Laon US 0
Saint-Louisienne 1
Quevilly 2
Red Star 3
Forbach 0
Lyon - La Duchere 1
Arles-Avignon 3
AC Ajaccio 3
Borgo FC (Inactive) 2
Martigues 1
Athletico Marseille 2
Tours 3
Stade Bordelais 2
Fougeres 1
Le Mans 2
Nancy 3
Troyes 1
TBD -
St Etienne -
1/32-finals
Auxerre 1
Strasbourg 0
St. Louis Neuweg 0
Jura Sud 3
Bressuire 2
Amiens SC 1
Plabennec 1
Le Poire Sur Vie 3
Metz 2
Epinal 1
Lorient 0
Avranches 1
Cholet 1
Beauvais 0
Laval 0
Brest 1
Concarneau 1
Niort 0
Caen 2
Dijon 3
Andrezieux 2
Saint Priest 0
Saint-Omer 0
IC Croix 5
Moulins-Yzeure 3
A.S. Pagny 1
Nice 0
Valenciennes 2
Chateauroux 1
Lucon 0
Dinan 0
Guingamp 3
PSG 3
Montpellier 0
Toulouse 1
Bordeaux 2
Lyon 3
Lens 2
Franciscain 0
Nantes 4
Rennes 2
Dunkerque 1
St. Maur Lusitanos 1
Reims 3
Thonon-Evian 3
FC Bobigny 93 0
Nimes 0
Monaco 2
Boulogne 5
Sarre Union 4
Marseille 3
Grenoble 4
Bastia 2
Lille 0
Orleans 3
Quevilly 4
Red Star 2
Arles-Avignon 1
AC Ajaccio 0
Athletico Marseille 3
Tours 3
Le Mans 1
Nancy 0
St Etienne 1
1/16-finals
Auxerre 1
Jura Sud 0
Bressuire 0
Le Poire Sur Vie 1
Metz 3
Avranches 0
Cholet 1
Brest 3
Concarneau 1
Dijon 0
Andrezieux 1
IC Croix 2
Moulins-Yzeure 2
Valenciennes 0
Chateauroux 0
Guingamp 2
PSG 2
Bordeaux 1
Lyon 2
Nantes 3
Rennes 2
Reims 1
Thonon-Evian 0
Monaco 2
Boulogne 1
Grenoble 0
Bastia 1
Quevilly 2
Red Star 2
Athletico Marseille 0
Tours 3
St Etienne 5
1/8-finals
Auxerre 2
Le Poire Sur Vie 1
Metz 0
Brest 1
Concarneau 1
IC Croix 0
Moulins-Yzeure 1
Guingamp 3
PSG 2
Nantes 0
Rennes 1
Monaco 3
Boulogne 2
Quevilly 0
Red Star 1
St Etienne 2
Quarter-finals
Auxerre 1
Brest 0
Concarneau 1
Guingamp 2
PSG 2
Monaco 0
Boulogne 1
St Etienne 2
Semi-finals
Auxerre 1
Guingamp 0
PSG 4
St Etienne 1
Final
Auxerre 0
PSG 1