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Pontyclun FC vs Goytre AFC

Wales Wales

FA Cup 2009/2010
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AI Match Summary

The FA Cup 2009/2010 game between Pontyclun FC and Goytre AFC finished 7-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pontyclun FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Pontyclun FC
11%
Draws
9%
Goytre AFC
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Pontyclun FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Pontyclun FC haven't matched Goytre AFC's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Pontyclun FC a 80% chance of winning this.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal FA Cup 2009/2010 game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Pontyclun FC Clean Sheet 16%
Goytre AFC Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pontyclun FC Goytre AFC
Matches Played 14 20
Wins 3 8
Draws 0 3
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.75 0.38
Goals Conceded 2.5 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2009 FA Cup
Pontyclun FC vs Goytre AFC
7:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pontyclun FC 75 / 100
Goytre AFC 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pontyclun FC Goytre AFC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Goytre AFC let in goals in 85% of their last 20 matches.

These sides typically produce 9.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Goytre AFC has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Pontyclun FC scored in 57% of their last 14 games.

Scoring Trends

Pontyclun FC VS Goytre AFC
1.75 Goals Scored 0.38
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 25%
100% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Bala1
Llanrug0
Caersws FC4
Coedpoeth1
Caerau Ely1
Afan Lido2
Connahs Q.3
Airbus UK Broughton FC2
Llangollen1
Llandudno Junction3
Cambrian United0
TNS2
Haverfordwest1
Aberystwyth2
Caldicot0
Port Talbot3
Prestatyn3
Grange Harlequins0
Porthmadog3
Rhydymwyn1
Rhyl4
Bridgend Town2
Pontardawe2
Llandudno FC0
Flint Town0
Bangor City1
Aberaman2
Ely Rangers0
Llanelli3
Carmarthen Town1
Llangeinor1
Holyhead6
1/8-finals
Bala2
Caersws FC0
Afan Lido2
Connahs Q.1
Llandudno Junction0
TNS6
Aberystwyth0
Port Talbot2
Prestatyn1
Porthmadog0
Rhyl7
Pontardawe0
Bangor City3
Aberaman1
Llanelli4
Holyhead0
Quarter-finals
Bala2
Afan Lido0
TNS2
Port Talbot3
Prestatyn5
Rhyl4
Bangor City2
Llanelli0
Semi-finals
Bala0
Port Talbot1
Prestatyn0
Bangor City2
Final
Port Talbot2
Bangor City3