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Pontypridd United vs Ammanford Town

Wales Wales

Cymru South 2025/2026 USW Sports Park
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Thomas C.
73' Event
Davies O.
89' Event
Clarke M.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru South 2025/2026 game between Pontypridd United and Ammanford Town finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ammanford Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Pontypridd United
6%
Draws
90%
Ammanford Town
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ammanford Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Pontypridd United haven't matched Ammanford Town's recent run of results.
  • Ammanford Town are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Cymru South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Pontypridd United Clean Sheet 10%
Ammanford Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pontypridd United Ammanford Town
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 16
Draws 6 9
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 2 1.75
Goals Conceded 2 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 9, 2026 Cymru South
Pontypridd United vs Ammanford Town
0:3
Sep 26, 2025 Cymru South
Ammanford Town vs Pontypridd United
1:1
Feb 8, 2025 Cymru South
Ammanford Town vs Pontypridd United
2:3
Nov 1, 2024 Cymru South
Pontypridd United vs Ammanford Town
3:0
Dec 10, 2021 Cymru South
Ammanford Town vs Pontypridd United
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pontypridd United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Ammanford Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Thomas C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Davies O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pontypridd United 10 / 100
Ammanford Town 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pontypridd United Ammanford Town

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AMM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pontypridd United's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Pontypridd United stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Ammanford Town has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pontypridd United VS Ammanford Town
2 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Trefelin30253283:1778
2Cambrian United30244275:2076
3Ammanford Town30179449:2660
4Caerau Ely30176766:3457
5Carmarthen Town301112745:3845
6Aberystwyth301351235:3844
7Cardiff Draconians301241450:4840
8Llantwit Major309101144:4737
9Treowen301071351:6337
10Newport City309101136:4837
11Pontypridd United30971446:5134
12Afan Lido30931832:5730
13Trethomas Bluebirds306111345:6229
14Baglan Dragons305101526:5225
15Ynyshir Albions30581727:5623
16Cwmbran Celtic30172225:7810