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Pontypridd United vs Penrhiwceiber Rangers

Wales Wales

Cymru South 2024/2025 USW Sports Park
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AI Match Summary

Pontypridd United play Penrhiwceiber Rangers in the Cymru South 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Pontypridd United averaged 0.75 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Penrhiwceiber Rangers averaged 0 goals scored and 3 conceded. In past meetings, Pontypridd United won 3, Penrhiwceiber Rangers won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 21, 2025 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for Pontypridd United and 1.25 for Penrhiwceiber Rangers. This points to a Pontypridd United double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Pontypridd United
39%
Draws
30%
Penrhiwceiber Rangers
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Pontypridd United has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Penrhiwceiber Rangers.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Cymru South 2024/2025 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Pontypridd United Clean Sheet 19%
Penrhiwceiber Rangers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pontypridd United Penrhiwceiber Rangers
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 15 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 0.75 0
Goals Conceded 1.5 3
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2025 Cymru South
Pontypridd United vs Penrhiwceiber Rangers
4:1
Oct 5, 2024 Cymru South
Penrhiwceiber Rangers vs Pontypridd United
0:2
Sep 13, 2008 FA Cup
Penrhiwceiber Rangers vs Pontypridd United
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pontypridd United Compare

Top Goalscorer Marsh T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Griffiths D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Penrhiwceiber Rangers Compare

Top Goalscorer Roberts D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pontypridd United 32 / 100
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pontypridd United Penrhiwceiber Rangers

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PEN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pontypridd United scored in 71% of their last 34 games.

Penrhiwceiber Rangers let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.67 goals.

Pontypridd United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Penrhiwceiber Rangers lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pontypridd United VS Penrhiwceiber Rangers
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Llanelli301810264:2564
2Trethomas Bluebirds30178553:3359
3Newport City30166850:3254
4Trefelin30158754:4153
5Pontypridd United30165954:4453
6Cambrian United301311650:3847
7Carmarthen Town30129955:4445
8Baglan Dragons301110944:3443
9Llantwit Major301110937:3443
10Ammanford Town301131647:5036
11Afan Lido308101244:5134
12Caerau Ely30951642:4332
13Cwmbran Celtic30931839:6230
14Penrhiwceiber Rangers30771630:5728
15Goytre Utd30651941:7223
16Taffs Well30362132:7615