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Pontypridd United W vs Briton Ferry W

Wales Wales

Premier Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pontypridd United W play Briton Ferry W in the Premier Women. Briton Ferry W are favorites here. Recently, Pontypridd United W averaged 0.77 goals scored and 3.77 conceded. Briton Ferry W averaged 1.87 goals scored and 1.81 conceded. In past meetings, Pontypridd United W won 0, Briton Ferry W won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 5, 2026 ended 1:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Pontypridd United W and 3.06 for Briton Ferry W. This points to a Briton Ferry W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Pontypridd United W
15%
Draws
71%
Briton Ferry W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Briton Ferry W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Pontypridd United W picked up more points recently compared to Briton Ferry W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 3.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 49%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66%
Pontypridd United W Clean Sheet 10%
Briton Ferry W Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 85%
Second Half Goal 89%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pontypridd United W Briton Ferry W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 1 12
Draws 3 7
Losses 26 12
Goals Scored 0.77 1.87
Goals Conceded 3.77 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Premier Women
Pontypridd United W vs Briton Ferry W
1:5
Mar 8, 2026 Premier Women
Briton Ferry W vs Pontypridd United W
3:0
Nov 2, 2025 Premier Women
Briton Ferry W vs Pontypridd United W
2:1
Sep 21, 2025 Premier Women
Pontypridd United W vs Briton Ferry W
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pontypridd United W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Briton Ferry W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ridings L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Crofts J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pontypridd United W 15 / 100
Briton Ferry W 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pontypridd United W Briton Ferry W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Briton Ferry W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Briton Ferry W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +133.4%
16.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.2%
1.32
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Pontypridd United W attacking → ← attacking Briton Ferry W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pontypridd United W scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Briton Ferry W let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Pontypridd United W went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Briton Ferry W lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

6 Points in last 5 43
0.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
4.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Cardiff City W14112153:1335
2Wrexham W14111250:2034
3Swansea W14100448:2030
4TNS W1472534:2223
5Briton Ferry W1451829:3716
6Aberystwyth W1441917:3413
7Barry Town W1441922:4713
8Pontypridd United W14001411:710