Sport Picks

Wales

Premier Women

Cardiff City W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Pontypridd United W play Cardiff City W in the Premier Women. Cardiff City W are favorites here. Recently, Pontypridd United W averaged 0.77 goals scored and 3.77 conceded. Cardiff City W averaged 2.73 goals scored and 1.58 conceded. In past meetings, Pontypridd United W won 0, Cardiff City W won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 25, 2026 ended 6:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.63 for Pontypridd United W and 3.81 for Cardiff City W. This points to a Cardiff City W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

11%

Pontypridd United W

15%

Draws

74%

Cardiff City W

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cardiff City W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Pontypridd United W picked up more points recently compared to Cardiff City W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.63 vs 3.81 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 86%

Over 1.5 Goals 97%

Over 2.5 Goals 84%

Over 3.5 Goals 50%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%

Pontypridd United W Clean Sheet 10%

Cardiff City W Clean Sheet 21%

First Half Goal 87%

Second Half Goal 92%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Pontypridd United W	Cardiff City W
Matches Played	30	33
Wins	1	20
Draws	3	4
Losses	26	9
Goals Scored	0.77	2.73
Goals Conceded	3.77	1.58
Expected Goals (xG)	0.25	3.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	4.38	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Premier Women

Cardiff City W vs Pontypridd United W

Possession: 48% - 55% Cards: 2 - 3

6:0

Oct 26, 2025 Premier Women

Pontypridd United W vs Cardiff City W

Possession: 59% - 49% Cards: 2 - 2

1:7

Jan 28, 2024 Premier Women

Cardiff City W vs Pontypridd United W

Possession: 49% - 53% Cards: 3 - 3

2:1

Oct 22, 2023 Premier Women

Pontypridd United W vs Cardiff City W

Possession: 45% - 42% Cards: 2 - 1

1:5

Nov 6, 2022 Premier Women

Pontypridd United W vs Cardiff City W

Possession: 53% - 54% Cards: 4 - 3

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pontypridd United W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lloyd M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.19

Avg xA / game 0.13

Cardiff City W Compare

Top Goalscorer Curnock L.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Jenkins N.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.95

Avg xA / game 1.81

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pontypridd United W 12 / 100

Cardiff City W 71 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Pontypridd United W Cardiff City W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cardiff City W Win (2)

Secondary Pick Cardiff City W & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +266.6%

33.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +7.5%

1.28

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Pontypridd United W attacking → ← attacking Cardiff City W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pontypridd United W scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Cardiff City W let in goals in 82% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Pontypridd United W went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Cardiff City W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

6 Points in last 5 64

0.25 Goals expected (xG) 3.25

4.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cardiff City W	14	11	2	1	53:13	35
2	Wrexham W	14	11	1	2	50:20	34
3	Swansea W	14	10	0	4	48:20	30
4	TNS W	14	7	2	5	34:22	23
5	Briton Ferry W	14	5	1	8	29:37	16
6	Aberystwyth W	14	4	1	9	17:34	13
7	Barry Town W	14	4	1	9	22:47	13
8	Pontypridd United W	14	0	0	14	11:71	0