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Stadium Background

Poole Town vs Basingstoke Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

FA Trophy
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Poole Town
30%
Draws
18%
Basingstoke
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Poole Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Poole Town lately — more wins on the board than Basingstoke.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Poole Town taking it.
  • Poole Town have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Poole Town, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Poole Town have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Poole Town Clean Sheet 20%
Basingstoke Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Poole Town Basingstoke
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 15 7
Draws 7 9
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.45 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 FA Trophy
Poole Town vs Basingstoke
1:0
Aug 15, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Poole Town vs Basingstoke
0:2
Feb 14, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Basingstoke vs Poole Town
1:2
Nov 22, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Poole Town vs Basingstoke
1:0
Jan 18, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Poole Town vs Basingstoke
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Poole Town 49 / 100
Basingstoke 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Poole Town Basingstoke

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Poole Town Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Poole Town scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Basingstoke has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Poole Town has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Poole Town VS Basingstoke
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Poole Town

(Home)
26 Sept
Poole Town
1 : 0
Basingstoke
12 Sept
Havant & Waterlooville
0 : 1
Poole Town
05 Sept
Bishops Cleeve
2 : 1
Poole Town
31 Aug
Plymouth Parkway
2 : 0
Poole Town
29 Aug
Poole Town
2 : 1
Yate
Page 1 of 7

Basingstoke

(Away)
26 Sept
Poole Town
1 : 0
Basingstoke
19 Sept
Basingstoke
1 : 1
Gosport Borough
12 Sept
Gloucester City
1 : 1
Basingstoke
08 Sept
AFC Stoneham
1 : 0
Basingstoke
05 Sept
Basingstoke
0 : 0
AFC Stoneham
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Warrington Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ashton United -
Hyde -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
United of Manchester -
Workington -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Heaton Stannington 0
Wythenshawe FC 1
Blyth Spartans 2
1874 Northwich 0
Ashington 3
West Auckland Town 1
FC Guisborough Town 3
Ossett United 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Redcar Athletic -
Morpeth 2
Witton Albion 0
Grimsby Borough 0
Dunston 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Avro -
Bury FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gainsborough -
Cleethorpes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lancaster -
Guiseley -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bamber Bridge -
Warrington Rylands -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stockton -
Hallam 4
Mossley AFC 3
Stocksbridge 1
Runcorn Linnets 2
Padiham 0
Pontefract Collieries 7
Prescot Cables 4
Vauxhall 1
Garforth 2
Bridlington Town 3
FC Congleton Town 4
Atherton Collieries 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Whitby -
Silsden 3
Consett 2
Liversedge 0
Bootle 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AFC Emley -
Curzon Ashton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stalybridge 2
Bradford PA 1
Lower Breck 4
North Ferriby FC 0
Alvechurch -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newcastle Town 0
Bourne 3
Hanley Town 2
Coleshill Town 0
Rushall -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stourbridge -
Boldmere St Michaels 2
St Ives Town 1
Basford Utd. 0
Bedworth United 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Redditch -
Stamford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughborough Students 1
Barwell 0
Chasetown 3
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 1
Worcester -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leek Town -
Lichfield City 0
Matlock 5
Lincoln Utd. 1
Nuneaton 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kettering -
Evesham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stratford -
Ilkeston -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Anstey Nomads -
Quorn -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leamington -
Peterborough Sports -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbury -
Racing Club Warwick -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bromsgrove -
Gloucester City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coventry United 1
Kidsgrove Athletic 3
Corby 0
Stafford 2
Alfreton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Shifnal Town 4
Rugby Borough 2
Carlton Town 2
Shepshed 3
Grantham Town 1
Mickleover 3
Worcester Raiders 1
Sutton Coldfield Town 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Malvern Town -
Halesowen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boston Town 1
Nantwich 2
Wellingborough 2
Belper Town 1
Aveley -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ware 2
Brightlingsea 1
Sudbury 3
Lowestoft 1
Cheshunt -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cray Wanderers -
Herne Bay 4
Kingstonian 3
Windsor & Eton 0
Southall FC 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Carshalton -
Leatherhead -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ramsgate -
Berkhamsted Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chatham -
Maldon & Tiptree -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Portchester 1
Whitstable Town 3
Westfield 1
Egham Town 2
Eastbourne Borough -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Welwyn Garden 3
Mulbarton Wanderers 0
Walthamstow FC 3
Leverstock Green 2
London Lions 0
Takeley 2
Aylesbury United 6
Sittingbourne 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hitchin -
Hanwell Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Enfield Town -
Fakenham 2
Wroxham 1
Waltham Abbey 2
Bowers & Pitsea 0
Croydon Athletic 3
Sevenoaks 2
Littlehampton 2
Raynes Park Vale 3
Haringey Borough 2
Newmarket 3
Stotfold 0
Gorleston 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leighton Town -
Real Bedford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wingate & Finchley -
Ascot United 3
Margate 0
Crowborough 2
Ashford United 4
Binfield 2
Deal Town 4
Beaconsfield Town 1
Sheppey United 2
Stanway Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Flackwell Heath 0
Faversham 3
Punjab United 0
Horley Town 2
Welling -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chertsey Town -
Brentwood -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hashtag 3
Royston Town 1
Tilbury 0
Hertford Town 1
Uxbridge -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lewes -
Whyteleafe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Whitehawk -
Burgess Hill -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Winslow United 4
Milton Keynes Irish 3
Concord Rangers 2
FC Witham Town 1
Hanworth Villa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stortford -
Marlow 0
Hayes & Yeading 4
Peacehaven & Telscombe 2
Merstham 1
Erith Town 2
Cray Valley 1
Eastbourne Town 1
Bedfont Sports 0
Potters 2
Barton 1
Little Oakley 2
Biggleswade FC 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Three Bridges -
St. Albans -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bury Town -
Canvey Island 4
Grays 1
Cambridge City 2
Redbridge 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Needham Market -
Hastings 2
Hendon 1
Bognor Regis 3
South Park 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dulwich Hamlet -
Leiston -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dartford -
Frome Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Swindon Supermarine 0
Slimbridge 1
Willand Rovers 2
Falmouth Town 1
Plymouth Parkway -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bath City -
Bishops Cleeve 1
Bristol Manor Farm 3
Steyning Town 1
Moneyfields 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wimborne -
AFC Stoneham 2
Shaftesbury Town 0
Didcot 2
Winchester City 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bracknell Town -
Havant & Waterlooville -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Taunton Town -
Poole Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Basingstoke -
Yate -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sholing -
Chippenham Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hartpury University 4
Exmouth Town 1
Weymouth 5
Melksham 1
Portland United 3
Hungerford 1
Westbury United 0
Thame United 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chichester City -
Bideford 1
Tiverton 2
Larkhall 2
Dorchester 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gosport Borough -
Semi-finals
Warrington Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Ashton United -
Hyde -
TBD -
TBD -
United of Manchester -
Workington -
TBD -
Wythenshawe FC 0
Blyth Spartans 4
Ashington 1
FC Guisborough Town 2
TBD -
Redcar Athletic -
Morpeth 0
Dunston 1
TBD -
Avro -
Bury FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Gainsborough -
Cleethorpes -
TBD -
TBD -
Lancaster -
Guiseley -
TBD -
TBD -
Bamber Bridge -
Warrington Rylands -
TBD -
TBD -
Stockton -
Hallam 2
Runcorn Linnets 1
Pontefract Collieries 1
Prescot Cables 2
Bridlington Town 3
FC Congleton Town 2
TBD -
Whitby -
Silsden 1
Bootle 5
TBD -
AFC Emley -
Curzon Ashton -
TBD -
Stalybridge 3
Lower Breck 2
Alvechurch -
TBD -
Bourne 3
Hanley Town 2
Rushall -
TBD -
TBD -
Stourbridge -
Boldmere St Michaels 1
Bedworth United 3
TBD -
Redditch -
Stamford -
TBD -
Loughborough Students 4
Chasetown 3
Worcester -
TBD -
TBD -
Leek Town -
Matlock 5
Nuneaton 1
TBD -
Kettering -
Evesham -
TBD -
TBD -
Stratford -
Ilkeston -
TBD -
TBD -
Anstey Nomads -
Quorn -
TBD -
TBD -
Leamington -
Peterborough Sports -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbury -
Racing Club Warwick -
TBD -
TBD -
Bromsgrove -
Gloucester City -
TBD -
Kidsgrove Athletic 0
Stafford 3
Alfreton -
TBD -
Shifnal Town 3
Shepshed 0
Mickleover 2
Sutton Coldfield Town 1
TBD -
Malvern Town -
Halesowen -
TBD -
Nantwich 2
Wellingborough 3
Aveley -
TBD -
Ware 2
Sudbury 0
Cheshunt -
TBD -
TBD -
Cray Wanderers -
Herne Bay 0
Southall FC 1
TBD -
Carshalton -
Leatherhead -
TBD -
TBD -
Ramsgate -
Berkhamsted Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Chatham -
Maldon & Tiptree -
TBD -
Whitstable Town 0
Egham Town 1
Eastbourne Borough -
TBD -
Welwyn Garden 2
Walthamstow FC 1
Takeley 2
Aylesbury United 0
TBD -
Hitchin -
Hanwell Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Enfield Town -
Fakenham 0
Waltham Abbey 2
Croydon Athletic 3
Raynes Park Vale 0
Newmarket 5
Gorleston 2
TBD -
Leighton Town -
Real Bedford -
TBD -
TBD -
Wingate & Finchley -
Ascot United 1
Ashford United 3
Deal Town 3
Sheppey United 0
Stanway Rovers -
TBD -
Faversham 6
Horley Town 2
Welling -
TBD -
TBD -
Chertsey Town -
Brentwood -
TBD -
Hashtag 3
Hertford Town 1
Uxbridge -
TBD -
TBD -
Lewes -
Whyteleafe -
TBD -
TBD -
Whitehawk -
Burgess Hill -
TBD -
Winslow United 5
Concord Rangers 0
Hanworth Villa -
TBD -
TBD -
Stortford -
Hayes & Yeading 3
Peacehaven & Telscombe 1
Erith Town 2
Eastbourne Town 0
Potters 2
Biggleswade FC 5
TBD -
Three Bridges -
St. Albans -
TBD -
TBD -
Bury Town -
Canvey Island 3
Cambridge City 2
TBD -
Needham Market -
Hastings 2
Bognor Regis 1
TBD -
Dulwich Hamlet -
Leiston -
TBD -
TBD -
Dartford -
Frome Town -
TBD -
Slimbridge 2
Willand Rovers 3
Plymouth Parkway -
TBD -
TBD -
Bath City -
Bristol Manor Farm 2
Moneyfields 3
TBD -
Wimborne -
AFC Stoneham 0
Didcot 4
TBD -
Bracknell Town -
Havant & Waterlooville -
TBD -
TBD -
Taunton Town -
Poole Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Basingstoke -
Yate -
TBD -
TBD -
Sholing -
Chippenham Town -
TBD -
Hartpury University 2
Weymouth 3
Portland United 0
Thame United 2
TBD -
Chichester City -
Tiverton 3
Larkhall 0
TBD -
Gosport Borough -
Final
Warrington Town 2
Ashton United 3
Hyde 2
United of Manchester 0
Workington 4
Blyth Spartans 2
FC Guisborough Town 0
Redcar Athletic 1
Dunston 0
Avro 2
Bury FC 4
Gainsborough 3
Cleethorpes 5
Lancaster 1
Guiseley 4
Bamber Bridge 2
Warrington Rylands 3
Stockton 1
Hallam 1
Prescot Cables 2
Bridlington Town 3
Whitby 0
Bootle 5
AFC Emley 0
Curzon Ashton 3
Stalybridge 1
Alvechurch 1
Bourne 2
Rushall 1
Stourbridge 3
Bedworth United 0
Redditch 1
Stamford 1
Loughborough Students 2
Worcester 0
Leek Town 2
Matlock 0
Kettering 4
Evesham 3
Stratford 1
Ilkeston 1
Anstey Nomads 3
Quorn 4
Leamington 2
Peterborough Sports 1
Banbury 3
Racing Club Warwick 0
Bromsgrove 1
Gloucester City 4
Stafford 0
Alfreton 2
Shifnal Town 1
Mickleover 2
Malvern Town 1
Halesowen 2
Wellingborough 0
Aveley 3
Ware 1
Cheshunt 1
Cray Wanderers 2
Southall FC 2
Carshalton 3
Leatherhead 3
Ramsgate 2
Berkhamsted Town 3
Chatham 1
Maldon & Tiptree 0
Egham Town 2
Eastbourne Borough 4
Welwyn Garden 2
Takeley 2
Hitchin 0
Hanwell Town 2
Enfield Town 4
Waltham Abbey 7
Croydon Athletic 1
Newmarket 2
Leighton Town 1
Real Bedford 0
Wingate & Finchley 3
Ashford United 0
Deal Town 1
Stanway Rovers 0
Faversham 2
Welling 2
Chertsey Town 3
Brentwood 3
Hashtag 4
Uxbridge 2
Lewes 1
Whyteleafe 1
Whitehawk 4
Burgess Hill 6
Winslow United 2
Hanworth Villa 3
Stortford 2
Hayes & Yeading 1
Erith Town 2
Biggleswade FC 1
Three Bridges 3
St. Albans 4
Bury Town 1
Canvey Island 0
Needham Market 3
Hastings 2
Dulwich Hamlet 1
Leiston 0
Dartford 3
Frome Town 2
Willand Rovers 1
Plymouth Parkway 0
Bath City 3
Moneyfields 1
Wimborne 3
Didcot 1
Bracknell Town 0
Havant & Waterlooville 2
Taunton Town 3
Poole Town 1
Basingstoke 0
Yate 0
Sholing 1
Chippenham Town 2
Weymouth 3
Thame United 1
Chichester City 2
Tiverton 1
Gosport Borough 3