Sport Picks
Poole Town vs Chertsey Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Southern League Premier South 
Match Events
19'
19'
Saied S.
45'
45'
Grant J.
78'
78'
Bowerman S.
AI Match Summary
The Southern League Premier South game between Poole Town and Chertsey Town finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
20%
52%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chertsey Town
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Poole Town have managed 1.59 goals a game lately — Chertsey Town are scoring more at 2.12.
- 52% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Poole Town have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Poole Town Clean Sheet 16%
Chertsey Town Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Poole Town | Chertsey Town |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 26 |
| Wins | 14 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 2.12 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.11 | 1.42 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 27, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Poole Town vs Chertsey Town
2:2
Sep 29, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Chertsey Town vs Poole Town
1:3
Apr 11, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Chertsey Town vs Poole Town
0:1
Sep 6, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Poole Town vs Chertsey Town
1:0
Apr 26, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Poole Town vs Chertsey Town
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Poole Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Saied S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Chertsey Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Grant J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bowerman S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Poole Town 31 / 100
Chertsey Town 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Poole Town Chertsey Town
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chertsey Town Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Poole Town scored in 81% of their last 27 games.
Defensive concern: Chertsey Town conceded in 81% of 26 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Poole Town stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Poole Town VS Chertsey Town
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Poole Town
(Home) 03 Nov
Poole Town
3 : 0 Hanwell Town
31 Oct
Bath City
1 : 0 Poole Town
27 Oct
Poole Town
2 : 2 Chertsey Town
24 Oct
Didcot
2 : 1 Poole Town
17 Oct
Chippenham Town
1 : 4 Poole Town
Page 1 of 6
03 Nov
Poole Town
3 : 0 Hanwell Town
27 Oct
Poole Town
2 : 2 Chertsey Town
10 Oct
Poole Town
1 : 0 Bracknell Town
03 Oct
Poole Town
3 : 1 Evesham
26 Sept
Poole Town
1 : 0 Basingstoke
Page 1 of 3
Chertsey Town
(Away) 03 Nov
Bracknell Town
1 : 2 Chertsey Town
31 Oct
Chertsey Town
4 : 3 Basingstoke
27 Oct
Poole Town
2 : 2 Chertsey Town
24 Oct
Takeley
0 : 4 Chertsey Town
20 Oct
Chertsey Town
2 : 0 Evesham
Page 1 of 6
03 Nov
Bracknell Town
1 : 2 Chertsey Town
27 Oct
Poole Town
2 : 2 Chertsey Town
24 Oct
Takeley
0 : 4 Chertsey Town
17 Oct
Plymouth Parkway
2 : 0 Chertsey Town
13 Oct
Hanwell Town
1 : 1 Chertsey Town
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uxbridge | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 28:11 | 32 |
| 2 | Poole Town | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 27:16 | 31 |
| 3 | Hanworth Villa | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 31:18 | 30 |
| 4 | Plymouth Parkway | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 32:19 | 29 |
| 5 | Bath City | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 20:10 | 29 |
| 6 | Chertsey Town | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 33:24 | 26 |
| 7 | Chichester City | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 27:25 | 25 |
| 8 | Gosport Borough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25:20 | 24 |
| 9 | Wimborne | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22:9 | 22 |
| 10 | Taunton Town | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 32:26 | 19 |
| 11 | Frome Town | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 22:19 | 19 |
| 12 | Berkhamsted Town | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 18:20 | 18 |
| 13 | Sholing | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 18:20 | 16 |
| 14 | Evesham | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 20:32 | 16 |
| 15 | Basingstoke | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 24:31 | 15 |
| 16 | Hanwell Town | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 18:21 | 14 |
| 17 | Yate | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16:27 | 14 |
| 18 | Bracknell Town | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 17:35 | 14 |
| 19 | Havant & Waterlooville | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 20:32 | 12 |
| 20 | Chippenham Town | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 15:29 | 12 |
| 21 | Gloucester City | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 17:21 | 11 |
| 22 | Malvern Town | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 21:38 | 11 |
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