Sport Picks
Poole Town vs Evesham - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Southern League Premier South 
Match Events
6'
6'
Obieri S.
18'
18'
Oastler J.
23'
23'
Goodship B.
AI Match Summary
The Southern League Premier South game between Poole Town and Evesham finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Poole Town.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
15%
27%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Poole Town
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Evesham haven't matched Poole Town's recent run of results.
- 58% — that's where the model lands on Poole Town taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Poole Town Clean Sheet 18%
Evesham Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Poole Town | Evesham |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 1.29 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Poole Town vs Evesham
3:1
Apr 3, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Evesham vs Poole Town
1:1
Aug 23, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Poole Town vs Evesham
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Poole Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Oastler J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Goodship B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Evesham Compare
Top Goalscorer Obieri S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Poole Town 85 / 100
Evesham 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Poole Town Evesham
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Poole Town Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Poole Town's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Evesham let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 2.67 goals.
Recent resilience: Poole Town stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Poole Town VS Evesham
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Poole Town
(Home) 07 Oct
Gosport Borough
1 : 3 Poole Town
03 Oct
Poole Town
3 : 1 Evesham
29 Sept
Chertsey Town
1 : 3 Poole Town
26 Sept
Poole Town
1 : 0 Basingstoke
12 Sept
Havant & Waterlooville
0 : 1 Poole Town
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Poole Town
3 : 1 Evesham
26 Sept
Poole Town
1 : 0 Basingstoke
29 Aug
Poole Town
2 : 1 Yate
15 Aug
Poole Town
0 : 2 Basingstoke
11 Aug
Poole Town
0 : 1 Sholing
Page 1 of 3
Evesham
(Away) 03 Oct
Poole Town
3 : 1 Evesham
29 Sept
Evesham
2 : 0 Chippenham Town
26 Sept
Evesham
3 : 1 Stratford
19 Sept
Redditch
3 : 0 Evesham
12 Sept
Evesham
0 : 0 Berkhamsted Town
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Poole Town
3 : 1 Evesham
19 Sept
Redditch
3 : 0 Evesham
05 Sept
Belper Town
0 : 3 Evesham
31 Aug
Gloucester City
1 : 2 Evesham
22 Aug
Hanworth Villa
4 : 1 Evesham
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Poole Town | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 17:12 | 21 |
| 2 | Plymouth Parkway | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 23:8 | 20 |
| 3 | Uxbridge | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19:8 | 20 |
| 4 | Hanworth Villa | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17:8 | 19 |
| 5 | Bath City | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:8 | 17 |
| 6 | Frome Town | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17:13 | 15 |
| 7 | Chertsey Town | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 20:15 | 14 |
| 8 | Taunton Town | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 23:22 | 13 |
| 9 | Chichester City | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 10 | Evesham | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:17 | 13 |
| 11 | Berkhamsted Town | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11:14 | 13 |
| 12 | Wimborne | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:4 | 12 |
| 13 | Gosport Borough | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13:13 | 12 |
| 14 | Yate | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:18 | 12 |
| 15 | Bracknell Town | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:18 | 11 |
| 16 | Sholing | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | 10 |
| 17 | Basingstoke | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 18 | Hanwell Town | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7:10 | 7 |
| 19 | Gloucester City | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12:17 | 7 |
| 20 | Chippenham Town | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:16 | 7 |
| 21 | Havant & Waterlooville | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9:16 | 5 |
| 22 | Malvern Town | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 13:25 | 5 |
Promotion - National League South 2027/2028 (Main)
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Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)
