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Poole Town vs Wimborne

England England

Southern League Premier South 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Ramos R.
43' Event
Sills E.
90' Event
Whisken J.

AI Match Summary

The Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 game between Poole Town and Wimborne finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wimborne.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Poole Town
30%
Draws
16%
Wimborne
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Poole Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Poole Town come out ahead of Wimborne on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Poole Town's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Poole Town Clean Sheet 17%
Wimborne Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Poole Town Wimborne
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 4
Draws 9 11
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.69 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Poole Town vs Wimborne
1:2
Dec 27, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Wimborne vs Poole Town
0:2
Feb 18, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Wimborne vs Poole Town
1:0
Aug 26, 2024 Southern League Premier South
Poole Town vs Wimborne
1:0
Jul 23, 2022 Club Friendly
Poole Town vs Wimborne
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Poole Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Whisken J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Wimborne Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramos R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sills E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Poole Town 66 / 100
Wimborne 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Poole Town Wimborne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Poole Town Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Poole Town found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).

Wimborne let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Poole Town has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Poole Town VS Wimborne
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Poole Town

(Home)
15 Aug
Poole Town
0 : 2
Basingstoke
11 Aug
Poole Town
0 : 1
Sholing
08 Aug
Chichester City
1 : 2
Poole Town
14 Jul
Poole Town
2 : 0
Eastleigh
11 Jul
Cardiff U21
1 : 1
Poole Town
Page 1 of 7

Wimborne

(Away)
15 Aug
Wimborne
1 : 1
Gloucester City
11 Aug
Wimborne
0 : 1
Chichester City
08 Aug
Frome Town
2 : 0
Wimborne
25 Jul
Wimborne
1 : 1
Maidenhead
18 Jul
Wimborne
1 : 3
Salisbury
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Walton & Hersham 42 29 5 8 94:42 92
2 Farnham 42 25 9 8 90:50 84
3 Gloucester City 42 25 7 10 93:51 82
4 Poole Town 42 21 12 9 80:50 75
5 Berkhamsted Town 42 21 9 12 62:50 72
6 Sholing 42 18 15 9 74:53 69
7 Chertsey Town 42 19 10 13 64:55 67
8 Gosport Borough 42 19 6 17 74:75 63
9 Uxbridge 42 15 14 13 74:70 59
10 Havant & Waterlooville 42 17 7 18 78:70 58
11 Plymouth Parkway 42 16 8 18 64:79 56
12 Bracknell Town 42 15 10 17 70:71 55
13 Yate 42 14 10 18 57:62 52
14 Hanwell Town 42 14 10 18 57:63 52
15 Wimborne 42 12 15 15 63:62 51
16 Taunton Town 42 14 9 19 65:70 51
17 Basingstoke 42 14 9 19 61:71 51
18 Evesham 42 11 14 17 51:62 47
19 Weymouth 42 13 8 21 53:71 47
20 Dorchester 42 9 13 20 48:79 40
21 Hungerford 42 9 11 22 47:87 38
22 Tiverton 42 5 3 34 39:115 18
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)