Sport Picks

Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026

Alcoyano

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Porreres play Alcoyano in the Segunda RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Porreres averaged 0.62 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. Alcoyano averaged 0.9 goals scored and 0.52 conceded. In past meetings, Porreres won 0, Alcoyano won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 3, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.63 for Porreres and 1.50 for Alcoyano. This points to a Alcoyano double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%

Porreres

34%

Draws

47%

Alcoyano

Draw rate projection: 34% Favored: Alcoyano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence

Porreres picked up more points recently compared to Alcoyano.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.63 vs 1.50 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 50%

Over 2.5 Goals 22%

Over 3.5 Goals 13%

Over 4.5 Goals 7%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%

Porreres Clean Sheet 16%

Alcoyano Clean Sheet 21%

First Half Goal 45%

Second Half Goal 48%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Porreres	Alcoyano
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	5	12
Draws	7	13
Losses	17	4
Goals Scored	0.62	0.9
Goals Conceded	1.31	0.52
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 3

Porreres vs Alcoyano

Possession: 58% - 57% Cards: 2 - 3

0:0

Nov 23, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 3

Alcoyano vs Porreres

Possession: 46% - 57% Cards: 0 - 2

2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Porreres 20 / 100

Alcoyano 47 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Porreres Alcoyano

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Alcoyano or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +72.7%

9.09

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +37.5%

6.25

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Porreres attacking → ← attacking Alcoyano

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Porreres scored in 41% of their last 29 games.

Alcoyano let in goals in 41% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Porreres went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Alcoyano lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

22 Points in last 5 49

0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sant Andreu	34	20	6	8	51:33	66
2	Baleares	34	19	9	6	53:34	66
3	UD Poblense	34	16	11	7	41:28	59
4	Reus FC Reddis	34	16	7	11	50:38	55
5	Alcoyano	34	13	16	5	30:20	55
6	Barcelona B	34	14	10	10	62:40	52
7	Girona B	34	12	11	11	45:37	47
8	Terrassa	34	11	13	10	36:44	46
9	Valencia B	34	10	14	10	53:50	44
10	Espanyol B	34	10	14	10	34:35	44
11	UD Barbastro	34	10	13	11	32:31	43
12	Olot	34	10	12	12	31:32	42
13	Castellon B	34	11	9	14	59:72	42
14	SD Ibiza	34	10	10	14	35:44	40
15	Andratx	34	8	9	17	35:56	33
16	CE Atletic Lleida	34	6	12	16	37:51	30
17	Torrent	34	7	9	18	36:53	30
18	Porreres	34	6	9	19	22:44	27