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Porreres vs Andratx

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Noguera C.
69'
Rocca A.
89' Event
Martinez D.

AI Match Summary

Porreres in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Porreres.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Porreres
20%
Draws
38%
Andratx
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Porreres

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Andratx haven't matched Porreres's recent run of results.
  • Porreres are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Porreres have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Porreres Clean Sheet 18%
Andratx Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Porreres Andratx
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 6
Draws 4 10
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 0.86 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Porreres vs Andratx
2:0
Feb 22, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Andratx vs Porreres
1:2
Dec 14, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Porreres vs Andratx
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Porreres Compare

Top Goalscorer Noguera C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martinez D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Andratx Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Porreres 36 / 100
Andratx 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Porreres Andratx

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Andratx conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Porreres remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Porreres found the back of the net in 54% of recent matches (28 games).

Scoring Trends

Porreres VS Andratx
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Porreres

(Home)
26 Sept
Arenal
1 : 2
Porreres
20 Sept
Porreres
2 : 1
Inter Ibiza
13 Sept
Formentera
3 : 1
Porreres
09 Sept
Binefar
1 : 0
Porreres
06 Sept
Porreres
2 : 0
Andratx
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Andratx

(Away)
26 Sept
Andratx
0 : 0
SD Ibiza
20 Sept
PE Sant Jordi
2 : 2
Andratx
12 Sept
Andratx
1 : 0
Llosetense
06 Sept
Porreres
2 : 0
Andratx
30 Aug
Andratx
2 : 1
Santanyi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manacor 4 4 0 0 13:4 12
2 SD Ibiza 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
3 Porreres 4 3 0 1 7:5 9
4 Formentera 4 2 2 0 7:2 8
5 Constancia 4 2 1 1 6:2 7
6 Llosetense 4 2 1 1 5:2 7
7 Cardassar 4 2 1 1 4:2 7
8 PE Sant Jordi 4 2 1 1 7:7 7
9 Alcudia 4 2 0 2 8:5 6
10 Platges de Calvia 4 2 0 2 6:4 6
11 Santanyi 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
12 Mercadal 4 1 2 1 5:4 5
13 Andratx 4 1 2 1 3:4 5
14 Arenal 4 1 0 3 4:8 3
15 Migjorn 4 1 0 3 3:9 3
16 Binissalem 4 0 0 4 2:9 0
17 Sineu 4 0 0 4 3:11 0
18 Inter Ibiza 4 0 0 4 2:12 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 (Play Offs)